Russ Carnahan

Democratic

Won 4 consecutive elections (2004–2010)

US House
Electoral Grade
B+
+17.4 pts
avg overperformance
Better than 69% of candidates5 graded races

Overperformance vs. state presidential baseline. Incumbents held to a higher bar: Senate/Gov −3 pts, House −2 pts.

5
Races
4-1
W-L (80%)
+13.1
Avg Margin
1990–2010
Career Span
Best: +36.0 (2008 House)Worst: -14.6 (1990 House)

Career Margin Trend5 races

R+20EvenD+2019902004200620082010

Career Timeline

99,398
Candidate Votes
48.9%
Vote %
203,085
Total Votes
+2.3%
Margin
Electoral Performance
+4.4
Race Score
+2.4
vs. Natl. Baseline
D-0.1
State Pres.
Incumbent (−2pt bar)
Top opponent: Ed MartinREP