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      Data: MIT Election Lab, VEST, Census Bureau
      Home›Candidates›Gerald Edward Connolly

      Gerald Edward Connolly

      Democratic

      Undefeated: 9-0 career record

      US House
      Electoral Grade
      B+
      +21.4 pts
      avg overperformance
      Better than 75% of candidates8 graded races

      Overperformance vs. state presidential baseline. Incumbents held to a higher bar: Senate/Gov −3 pts, House −2 pts.

      9
      Races
      9-0
      W-L (100%)
      +33.0
      Avg Margin
      2008–2024
      Career Span
      Best: +87.9 (2016 House)Worst: 0.4 (2010 House)

      Career Margin Trend9 races

      R+60R+30EvenD+30D+60200820102012201420162018202020222024

      Career Timeline

      2024 US HouseVirginiaDistrict 11
      273,529
      Candidate Votes
      66.7%
      Vote %
      410,186
      Total Votes
      +33.8%
      Margin
      Electoral Performance
      +30.1
      Race Score
      +28.1
      vs. Natl. Baseline
      D+5.9
      State Pres.
      Incumbent (−2pt bar)
      Top opponent: Mike L. Van MeterREP
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