William McMillan

Lost the 1898 Governor race in Nevada

Republican

Governor

Electoral Grade

—

Requires 3+ graded races

Races

0-1

W-L (0%)

-14.9

Avg Margin

1898

Career Span

Best: +-14.9 (1898 Governor)Worst: -14.9 (1898 Governor)

Win Rate

+58.3

Avg Overperformance

Career Votes

Evidence & provenance

Source owners

Certified contest returns, candidate career records, and Akashic Edge deterministic grading inputs.

Freshness

Rendered Apr 14, 2026 from the latest candidate, contest, and forecast tables loaded in Akashic Edge.

Boundary scope

Candidate-level profile spanning every contest recorded for this person in Akashic Edge.

Claim type

Deterministic summaries, calculated grades, and certified election history. No freeform AI prose.

Source chain

MethodologyCertified contest returnsCandidate grade inputs

Open methodology

2026

Likely D

NH SenateDeclared

Shaheen's retirement opens NH's first Senate vacancy since 2010, but Pappas starts in a strong position — he represents half the state in NH-01, outraised both Republican candidates combined in Q4 2025, and leads all GOP contenders in head-to-head polling. Sununu (82% on Polymarket) has Trump's endorsement and NRSC backing for the primary, but Brown is staying in, forcing a bruising contest through the late September 8 primary while Pappas runs unopposed. Sununu hasn't won an election in nearly two decades, and Trump's endorsement may help him in the primary but complicates his general election pitch in a state that went for Harris. NH independents who want to vote for an idiosyncratic Republican will have Ayotte on the ballot for governor — that valve makes ticket-splitting toward the Senate Democrat easier, not harder. Likely D.

vs.Chris Pappas

View race details