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      Data: MIT Election Lab, VEST, Census Bureau
      Home›Candidates›Elise M Stefanik

      Elise M Stefanik

      Other

      House candidate from New York

      US House
      Electoral Grade
      A
      +39.9 pts
      avg overperformance
      Better than 92% of candidates6 graded races

      Overperformance vs. state presidential baseline. Incumbents held to a higher bar: Senate/Gov −3 pts, House −2 pts.

      18
      Races
      6-12
      W-L (33%)
      -16.7
      Avg Margin
      2014–2024
      Career Span
      Best: +-9.8 (2018 House)Worst: -26.6 (2016 House)

      Career Margin Trend18 races

      R+20EvenD+202014201620162018202020222024

      Career Timeline

      2024 US HouseNew YorkDistrict 21
      390,928
      Candidate Votes
      27.1%
      Vote %
      1,441,832
      Total Votes
      -20.6%
      Margin
      Electoral Performance
      +35.9
      Race Score
      +33.9
      vs. Natl. Baseline
      D+13.3
      State Pres.
      Incumbent (−2pt bar)
      Top opponent: Paula CollinsDEM
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