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Wendell Willkie

President candidate from Alabama who won a razor-thin 0.3-point race in 1940

Republican
President
Electoral Grade
Requires 3+ graded races
48
Races
11-37
W-L (23%)
+19.0
Avg Margin
1940
Career Span
Best: +94.1 (1940 President)Worst: -14.8 (1940 President)
23%
Win Rate
3
Win Streak
22.3M
Career Votes

Evidence & provenance

Source owners

Certified contest returns, candidate career records, and Akashic Edge deterministic grading inputs.

Freshness

Rendered Apr 14, 2026 from the latest candidate, contest, and forecast tables loaded in Akashic Edge.

Boundary scope

Candidate-level profile spanning every contest recorded for this person in Akashic Edge.

Claim type

Deterministic summaries, calculated grades, and certified election history. No freeform AI prose.

Source chain

MethodologyCertified contest returnsCandidate grade inputs
Open methodology

Career Margin Trend48 races

R+60R+30EvenD+30D+601940: D+5.9 - Click to view1940: D+1.8 - Click to view1940: D+14.2 - Click to view1940: D+17.6 - Click to view1940: D+36.5 - Click to view1940: R+9.9 - Click to view1940: D+24.6 - Click to view1940: D+62.1 - Click to view1940: D+34.9 - Click to view1940: R+14.8 - Click to view1940: D+93.9 - Click to view1940: D+13.6 - Click to view1940: D+6.9 - Click to view1940: D+8.1 - Click to view1940: D+15.2 - Click to view1940: D+4.4 - Click to view1940: R+10.9 - Click to view1940: D+48.1 - Click to view1940: R+3.1 - Click to view1940: D+13.3 - Click to view1940: D+3.6 - Click to view1940: D+6.4 - Click to view1940: D+20.1 - Click to view1940: R+14.4 - Click to view1940: D+18.6 - Click to view1940: D+4.5 - Click to view1940: D+94.1 - Click to view1940: D+3.8 - Click to view1940: R+0.3 - Click to view1940: D+6.8 - Click to view1940: D+17.4 - Click to view1940: R+2.3 - Click to view1940: D+71.8 - Click to view1940: D+15.1 - Click to view1940: R+14.5 - Click to view1940: R+4.4 - Click to view1940: R+1.4 - Click to view1940: D+2.4 - Click to view1940: D+9.1 - Click to view1940: D+77.1 - Click to view1940: D+48.0 - Click to view1940: D+9.7 - Click to view1940: D+7.2 - Click to view1940: R+2.5 - Click to view1940: D+16.1 - Click to view1940: D+57.4 - Click to view1940: D+27.5 - Click to view1940: D+70.9 - Click to view194019401940194019401940

Career Timeline

42,167
Candidate Votes
14.3%
Vote %
294,197
Total Votes
+70.9%
Margin
Top opponent: Franklin Delano RooseveltDEM

Key Insights

3 insights generated

Deterministic highlights from career record, margins, and standout performances.

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Geographic Performance

48 races with county data

County-level results, strongest and weakest counties, and performance by county type.

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County Results Table

Sortable, searchable table of every county result for each race.

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Demographic Coalition Analysis

48 races available

Scatter plots correlating county performance with demographics: race, education, income, foreign-born.

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Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Curious about Wendell Willkie's performance?

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Interactive AI-powered chat about Wendell Willkie's career, opponents, and performance.

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