How did Arnold CDP, Maryland vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Arnold CDP, Maryland voted Democratic in 2024 with a margin of D+13.8. Kamala D Harris received 8,011 votes and Donald Trump received 6,017 out of 14,444 total votes cast, a 0.3-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Arnold CDP, Maryland's political history?

Arnold CDP, Maryland has 5 presidential elections on record, spanning 2008 to 2024. Democrats have won 3 and Republicans 2 of those contests. The largest single-election swing was 13.8 points in 2020.

What are the demographics of Arnold CDP, Maryland?

Arnold CDP, Maryland has a population of 24,064 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 80.4% non-Hispanic white, 5.8% Hispanic, 4.7% Black.

Which places are most similar to Arnold CDP, Maryland?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar citys to Arnold CDP, Maryland are Severna Park CDP, Chaska City, Highlands Ranch CDP. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

What county and districts is Arnold CDP, Maryland in?

Arnold CDP, Maryland is located within the following geographies: State: Maryland. Akashic Edge provides election data and demographic analysis for each of these containing areas.

Arnold CDP, Maryland

Census Designated Place · Latest: 2024→ Even vs 2020

Leans Democratic — 24K residents

Ask Historian Open in Explore CompareShare image

Presidential margin · 2008 → 2024

Full history

2008
R+7.6
McCain
2012
R+7.3
Romney
2016
D+0.3
Clinton
2020
D+14.1
Biden
2024
D+13.8
Harris

Who lives here

Full breakdown

White80.4%
Hispanic5.8%
Multiracial5.6%

Similarity Explorer

Similar cities

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

Severna Park CDPMD

Educated urban republican

D+6.6

Similarity score99%

Chaska CityMN

Educated urban republican

D+7.6

Similarity score96%

Highlands Ranch CDPCO

Educated urban republican

D+5.7

Similarity score96%

Brunswick CityMD

Educated urban republican

D+5.6

Similarity score96%

Crofton CDPMD

Educated urban democratic 2

D+26.8

Similarity score96%

Linganore CDPMD

Educated urban republican

D+7.8

Similarity score96%

Chanhassen CityMN

Educated urban republican

D+12.0

Similarity score95%

Apple Valley CityMN

Educated urban democratic 2

D+22.4

Similarity score95%

Containing Geography

Located In

Arnold CDP sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Maryland(State)

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Arnold CDP's political evolution with the Historian

“How has Arnold CDP, Maryland voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Arnold CDPCensus ACS 2024

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 80.4%Hispanic 5.8%Multiracial 5.6%Black 4.7%Asian 3.3%

Group	Arnold CDP	National
White (Non-Hispanic)	80.4%	57.4%
Hispanic / Latino	5.8%	19.3%
Multiracial / Other	5.6%	4.0%
Black / African American	4.7%	12.2%
Asian	3.3%	6.0%
Native American / Alaska Native	0.2%	0.9%
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander	0.1%	0.2%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Detailed ancestry data unavailable for this geography.

Who lives in Arnold CDP? 24,064 residents as of the 2020 Census.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Arnold CDP vs National24K residents

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

24K

local

24KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.01%

local

0.01%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

75.0%

local

75.0%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/ANational $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/ANational 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/ANational 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/ANational 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/ANational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/ANational 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/ANational 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/ANational 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/ANational 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/ANational 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Arnold CDP

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.

2024 Turnout

80.0%

vs Previous

-0.2pp

Voting-Age Pop

18,060

History

2008–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is Arnold CDP?

Lean DAvg margin: D+9.4 (last 3 elections)

2008

R+7.6

2012

R+7.3

2016

D+0.3

2020

D+14.1

2024

D+13.8

Elasticity

21.7pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

D+2.7

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