Ventura County, California: Professional Migration
California Β· Presidential Elections 1876β2024
D+15.1
2024 Margin
R+6.0%
2020β2024 Swing
D since 2008
Voting Streak
ποΈ Prof. Migration
Classification
844K
Population
Ventura County, California voted D+15.1 for Kamala Harris in 2024, with Harris receiving 217,424 votes (56.08%). This represented a R+6.0% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 2008.
Electoral Behavior
ποΈ
Professional MigrationView all
Growing metro exurbs and suburbs receiving educated professionals from cities. These areas are shifting blue as remote work and urban flight bring liberal voters. Examples: Atlanta suburbs, DFW exurbs, Denver metro.
Volatility
3.7
Elasticity
Highly elastic
Trend
+0.6/yr
Quick Stats
2024 ResultD+15.1
2020β2024 SwingR+6.0%
Voting StreakD since 2008
Elections on Record38
Demographics
Population843,843
Median Age
39.0(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
49.2%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$102,141(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
42.9%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
43.8%(US: 18.6%)
Black
1.8%(US: 12.3%)
Asian
7.2%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
64.2%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
9.0%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
5.2%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 56.1%(217,424) | 41.0%(158,901) | D+15.1 | -6.0 |
| 2020 | 59.5%(251,388) | 38.4%(162,207) | D+21.1 | +3.7 |
| 2016 | 54.6%(194,402) | 37.2%(132,323) | D+17.4 | +10.4 |
| 2012 | 52.2%(170,929) | 45.1%(147,958) | D+7.0 | -5.2 |
| 2008 | 55.0%(187,601) | 42.8%(145,853) | D+12.2 | +15.9 |
| 2004 | 47.5%(148,859) | 51.2%(160,314) | R+3.7 | -2.6 |
| 2000 | 47.1%(133,258) | 48.2%(136,173) | R+1.0 | -1.7 |
| 1996 | 44.1%(110,772) | 43.5%(109,202) | D+0.6 | -0.9 |
| 1992 | 37.0%(99,011) | 35.5%(94,911) | D+1.5 | +26.0 |
| 1988 | 37.2%(89,065) | 61.6%(147,604) | R+24.4 | +14.0 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 51.3%(137,141) | 0.0%(0) | D+51.3 | +42.5 |
| 2012 | 54.4%(171,483) | 45.6%(143,603) | D+8.8 | -2.3 |
| 2006 | 53.2%(115,471) | 42.1%(91,374) | D+11.1 | +3.7 |
| 2000 | 50.2%(138,836) | 42.9%(118,463) | D+7.4 | +19.8 |
| 1994 | 38.6%(82,472) | 51.0%(108,993) | R+12.4 | -11.4 |
| 1992 | 45.3%(119,366) | 46.3%(122,064) | R+1.0 | +27.4 |
| 1988 | 34.1%(81,831) | 62.5%(149,958) | R+28.4 | -6.7 |
| 1982 | 37.2%(66,325) | 58.9%(104,972) | R+21.7 | -9.0 |
| 1976 | 42.5%(65,254) | 55.1%(84,685) | R+12.7 | -14.3 |
| 1970 | 50.0%(54,622) | 48.3%(52,780) | D+1.7 | +7.4 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 55.5%(171,729) | 44.5%(137,393) | D+11.1 | +5.0 |
| 2014 | 53.1%(106,072) | 46.9%(93,797) | D+6.1 | +10.1 |
| 2010 | 45.3%(117,800) | 49.3%(128,082) | R+4.0 | +22.8 |
| 2006 | 34.3%(75,790) | 61.0%(134,862) | R+26.7 | -22.8 |
| 2002 | 43.2%(83,557) | 47.2%(91,193) | R+4.0 | -13.1 |
| 1998 | 53.0%(110,226) | 43.8%(91,093) | D+9.2 | +38.1 |
| 1994 | 33.4%(73,163) | 62.4%(136,417) | R+28.9 | -8.3 |
| 1990 | 36.9%(68,139) | 57.6%(106,234) | R+20.6 | +15.5 |
| 1986 | 31.1%(54,893) | 67.2%(118,640) | R+36.1 | -23.3 |
| 1982 | 42.4%(76,094) | 55.2%(99,130) | R+12.8 | -25.0 |
Primary Election History
| Year | Party | Winner | Runner-up | Nominee? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | GOP | Donald Trump(77.7%) | Nikki Haley(19.3%) | β |
| 2020 | Dem | Bernie Sanders(34.6%) | Joe Biden(31.2%) | β |
| 2016 | Dem | Hillary Clinton(51.2%) | Bernie Sanders(47.9%) | β |
| 2016 | GOP | Donald Trump(74.1%) | John Kasich(12.7%) | β |
| 2012 | Dem | Barack Obama(100.0%) | Other(0.0%) | β |
| 2008 | Dem | Hillary Clinton(53.7%) | Barack Obama(40.8%) | β |
β = County picked eventual party nominee