Ventura County, California: Professional Migration

California Β· Presidential Elections 1876–2024

D+15.1
2024 Margin
R+6.0%
2020β†’2024 Swing
D since 2008
Voting Streak
🏘️ Prof. Migration
Classification
844K
Population

Ventura County, California voted D+15.1 for Kamala Harris in 2024, with Harris receiving 217,424 votes (56.08%). This represented a R+6.0% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 2008.

Electoral Behavior

🏘️
Professional MigrationView all

Growing metro exurbs and suburbs receiving educated professionals from cities. These areas are shifting blue as remote work and urban flight bring liberal voters. Examples: Atlanta suburbs, DFW exurbs, Denver metro.

Volatility
3.7
Elasticity
Highly elastic
Trend
+0.6/yr

Quick Stats

2024 ResultD+15.1
2020β†’2024 SwingR+6.0%
Voting StreakD since 2008
Elections on Record38

Demographics

Population843,843
Median Age
39.0(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
49.2%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$102,141(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
42.9%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
43.8%(US: 18.6%)
Black
1.8%(US: 12.3%)
Asian
7.2%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
64.2%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
9.0%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
5.2%(US: 6.4%)

Presidential Elections

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202456.1%(217,424)41.0%(158,901)D+15.1-6.0
202059.5%(251,388)38.4%(162,207)D+21.1+3.7
201654.6%(194,402)37.2%(132,323)D+17.4+10.4
201252.2%(170,929)45.1%(147,958)D+7.0-5.2
200855.0%(187,601)42.8%(145,853)D+12.2+15.9
200447.5%(148,859)51.2%(160,314)R+3.7-2.6
200047.1%(133,258)48.2%(136,173)R+1.0-1.7
199644.1%(110,772)43.5%(109,202)D+0.6-0.9
199237.0%(99,011)35.5%(94,911)D+1.5+26.0
198837.2%(89,065)61.6%(147,604)R+24.4+14.0

Senate Elections

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
201851.3%(137,141)0.0%(0)D+51.3+42.5
201254.4%(171,483)45.6%(143,603)D+8.8-2.3
200653.2%(115,471)42.1%(91,374)D+11.1+3.7
200050.2%(138,836)42.9%(118,463)D+7.4+19.8
199438.6%(82,472)51.0%(108,993)R+12.4-11.4
199245.3%(119,366)46.3%(122,064)R+1.0+27.4
198834.1%(81,831)62.5%(149,958)R+28.4-6.7
198237.2%(66,325)58.9%(104,972)R+21.7-9.0
197642.5%(65,254)55.1%(84,685)R+12.7-14.3
197050.0%(54,622)48.3%(52,780)D+1.7+7.4

Governor Elections

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
201855.5%(171,729)44.5%(137,393)D+11.1+5.0
201453.1%(106,072)46.9%(93,797)D+6.1+10.1
201045.3%(117,800)49.3%(128,082)R+4.0+22.8
200634.3%(75,790)61.0%(134,862)R+26.7-22.8
200243.2%(83,557)47.2%(91,193)R+4.0-13.1
199853.0%(110,226)43.8%(91,093)D+9.2+38.1
199433.4%(73,163)62.4%(136,417)R+28.9-8.3
199036.9%(68,139)57.6%(106,234)R+20.6+15.5
198631.1%(54,893)67.2%(118,640)R+36.1-23.3
198242.4%(76,094)55.2%(99,130)R+12.8-25.0

Primary Election History

YearPartyWinnerRunner-upNominee?
2024GOPDonald Trump(77.7%)Nikki Haley(19.3%)βœ“
2020DemBernie Sanders(34.6%)Joe Biden(31.2%)βœ—
2016DemHillary Clinton(51.2%)Bernie Sanders(47.9%)βœ“
2016GOPDonald Trump(74.1%)John Kasich(12.7%)βœ“
2012DemBarack Obama(100.0%)Other(0.0%)β€”
2008DemHillary Clinton(53.7%)Barack Obama(40.8%)βœ—
βœ“ = County picked eventual party nominee

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Source: Official state election returns
akashicedge.com/counties/0500000US06111