Biggest Shifts2020 → 2024
Which Communities Shifted the Most?
Lake and Peninsula Borough, Alaska, AK swung 32.1 points toward Republicans—the biggest shift in the nation.
Trump made major inroads in communities with bloc voting patterns—particularly areas with higher shares of non-English speakers where he invested heavily in outreach. Harris gained in places attracting liberal migration: Atlanta suburbs, Asheville, mid-size Pacific Northwest cities like Bend, and a few small conservative communities that may have maxed out on the GOP.
Between 2020 and 2024, most U.S. counties shifted toward Republicans. The biggest GOP swings came from communities with bloc voting patterns—South Texas border counties, Orthodox Jewish enclaves, and other tight-knit groups Trump actively courted. Democratic gains were smaller and concentrated in areas experiencing liberal in-migration: Atlanta's exurbs, Asheville, mountain towns in the Pacific Northwest, and some deeply red rural counties that may have hit a GOP ceiling.
Sorted by percentage point swing
Biggest Swings Toward Republicans
| # | County | Swing | 2020 | 2024 | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lake and Peninsula Borough, AlaskaAK* | R+32.1% | D+19.8 | R+12.3 | 449 |
| 2 | Maverick County, TexasTX | R+27.9% | D+9.5 | R+18.5 | 15,745 |
| 3 | Webb County, TexasTX | R+25.4% | D+23.3 | R+2.2 | 65,937 |
| 4 | Imperial County, CaliforniaCA | R+25.2% | D+24.4 | R+0.9 | 54,025 |
| 5 | Bronx County, New YorkNY | R+22.6% | D+67.5 | D+44.9 | 364,061 |
| 6 | Northwest Arctic Borough, AlaskaAK* | R+21.3% | D+16.9 | R+4.4 | 1,536 |
| 7 | Queens County, New YorkNY | R+21.1% | D+45.2 | D+24.1 | 715,964 |
| 8 | Starr County, TexasTX | R+21.0% | D+5.0 | R+16.0 | 16,431 |
| 9 | Dimmit County, TexasTX | R+20.7% | D+24.0 | D+3.3 | 3,427 |
| 10 | El Paso County, TexasTX | R+20.0% | D+35.1 | D+15.1 | 252,005 |
| 11 | Hidalgo County, TexasTX | R+19.9% | D+17.1 | R+2.9 | 217,265 |
| 12 | Culberson County, TexasTX | R+19.6% | D+2.7 | R+16.9 | 781 |
| 13 | Passaic County, New JerseyNJ | R+19.5% | D+16.7 | R+2.9 | 203,351 |
| 14 | Cameron County, TexasTX | R+18.9% | D+13.2 | R+5.8 | 116,309 |
| 15 | Miami-Dade County, FloridaFL | R+18.8% | D+7.3 | R+11.4 | 1,097,209 |
| 16 | Hudson County, New JerseyNJ | R+18.7% | D+46.6 | D+27.9 | 232,232 |
| 17 | Denali Borough, AlaskaAK* | R+17.1% | R+5.2 | R+22.3 | 1,267 |
| 18 | Zapata County, TexasTX | R+17.1% | R+5.3 | R+22.4 | 4,871 |
| 19 | Zavala County, TexasTX | R+17.0% | D+31.4 | D+14.4 | 3,492 |
| 20 | Frio County, TexasTX | R+16.9% | R+7.6 | R+24.5 | 4,939 |
| 21 | Santa Cruz County, ArizonaAZ | R+16.9% | D+35.5 | D+18.6 | 19,167 |
| 22 | Val Verde County, TexasTX | R+16.6% | R+9.9 | R+26.6 | 14,612 |
| 23 | Hoonah-Angoon Census Area, AlaskaAK* | R+15.7% | D+37.7 | D+22.1 | 1,769 |
| 24 | Bethel Census Area, AlaskaAK* | R+15.6% | D+28.0 | D+12.4 | 4,331 |
| 25 | Kusilvak Census Area, AlaskaAK* | R+15.5% | D+32.3 | D+16.7 | 1,567 |
| 26 | Osceola County, FloridaFL | R+15.3% | D+13.8 | R+1.4 | 173,289 |
| 27 | Hendry County, FloridaFL | R+15.2% | R+23.0 | R+38.2 | 13,487 |
| 28 | Willacy County, TexasTX | R+15.2% | D+11.9 | R+3.3 | 5,563 |
| 29 | Sutter County, CaliforniaCA | R+15.0% | R+16.4 | R+31.4 | 39,339 |
| 30 | Merced County, CaliforniaCA | R+14.9% | D+10.5 | R+4.3 | 86,684 |
| 31 | Kenedy County, TexasTX | R+14.9% | R+32.0 | R+46.8 | 158 |
| 32 | San Joaquin County, CaliforniaCA | R+14.7% | D+13.8 | R+0.9 | 264,916 |
| 33 | Apache County, ArizonaAZ | R+14.7% | D+33.6 | D+18.9 | 32,096 |
| 34 | Richmond County, New YorkNY | R+14.4% | R+14.9 | R+29.3 | 200,558 |
| 35 | Yuma County, ArizonaAZ | R+14.2% | R+6.2 | R+20.4 | 68,195 |
| 36 | Middlesex County, New JerseyNJ | R+14.2% | D+22.2 | D+8.0 | 366,639 |
| 37 | Rio Arriba County, New MexicoNM | R+14.2% | D+33.6 | D+19.4 | 15,989 |
| 38 | Mora County, New MexicoNM | R+14.1% | D+31.4 | D+17.3 | 2,487 |
| 39 | McKinley County, New MexicoNM | R+14.1% | D+38.6 | D+24.5 | 25,867 |
| 40 | Guadalupe County, New MexicoNM | R+13.8% | D+14.5 | D+0.7 | 1,938 |
| 41 | Nassau County, New YorkNY | R+13.7% | D+9.6 | R+4.2 | 715,715 |
| 42 | Reeves County, TexasTX | R+13.7% | R+23.3 | R+36.9 | 3,439 |
| 43 | Nome Census Area, AlaskaAK* | R+13.6% | D+23.1 | D+9.4 | 2,800 |
| 44 | Rockland County, New YorkNY | R+13.4% | D+1.7 | R+11.7 | 150,825 |
| 45 | Manassas Park city, VirginiaVA | R+13.2% | D+33.1 | D+19.9 | 5,997 |
| 46 | Bergen County, New JerseyNJ | R+13.2% | D+16.5 | D+3.4 | 460,685 |
| 47 | Uvalde County, TexasTX | R+13.1% | R+20.3 | R+33.4 | 9,772 |
| 48 | Tulare County, CaliforniaCA | R+12.9% | R+7.8 | R+20.7 | 138,309 |
| 49 | Broward County, FloridaFL | R+12.9% | D+29.8 | D+16.9 | 877,262 |
| 50 | San Bernardino County, CaliforniaCA | R+12.8% | D+10.7 | R+2.1 | 761,714 |
Biggest Swings Toward Democrats
| # | County | Swing | 2020 | 2024 | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yakutat City and Borough, AlaskaAK* | D+10.9% | D+8.5 | D+19.4 | 464 |
| 2 | Henry County, GeorgiaGA | D+9.1% | D+20.4 | D+29.5 | 129,774 |
| 3 | Kodiak Island Borough, AlaskaAK* | D+7.3% | R+21.8 | R+14.5 | 7,132 |
| 4 | San Juan County, ColoradoCO | D+7.0% | D+24.9 | D+31.9 | 589 |
| 5 | Chaffee County, ColoradoCO | D+6.7% | D+6.8 | D+13.6 | 14,423 |
| 6 | Loving County, TexasTX | D+6.5% | R+84.8 | R+78.3 | 97 |
| 7 | Rockdale County, GeorgiaGA | D+6.4% | D+40.8 | D+47.2 | 45,471 |
| 8 | Douglas County, GeorgiaGA | D+6.1% | D+25.1 | D+31.3 | 71,153 |
| 9 | Kaufman County, TexasTX | D+6.0% | R+33.8 | R+27.8 | 69,538 |
| 10 | Hyde County, South DakotaSD | D+5.3% | R+60.3 | R+55.0 | 695 |
| 11 | Paulding County, GeorgiaGA | D+5.0% | R+29.1 | R+24.0 | 95,524 |
| 12 | Ellis County, OklahomaOK | D+4.9% | R+81.5 | R+76.6 | 1,812 |
| 13 | Oliver County, North DakotaND | D+4.7% | R+74.0 | R+69.3 | 1,087 |
| 14 | Clallam County, WashingtonWA | D+4.5% | D+3.4 | D+7.8 | 48,663 |
| 15 | Island County, WashingtonWA | D+4.5% | D+12.0 | D+16.4 | 52,449 |
| 16 | Blaine County, NebraskaNE | D+4.3% | R+77.3 | R+73.0 | 292 |
| 17 | Billings County, North DakotaND | D+4.3% | R+73.9 | R+69.5 | 647 |
| 18 | Henderson County, North CarolinaNC | D+4.3% | R+18.8 | R+14.5 | 69,974 |
| 19 | Spalding County, GeorgiaGA | D+4.3% | R+20.8 | R+16.6 | 33,208 |
| 20 | Wheeler County, OregonOR | D+4.2% | R+51.2 | R+47.0 | 868 |
| 21 | Newton County, GeorgiaGA | D+4.1% | D+10.9 | D+15.0 | 59,477 |
| 22 | Rio Blanco County, ColoradoCO | D+4.0% | R+67.7 | R+63.7 | 3,692 |
| 23 | Union County, New MexicoNM | D+4.0% | R+56.2 | R+52.2 | 1,665 |
| 24 | Hancock County, IndianaIN | D+3.9% | R+37.5 | R+33.6 | 44,584 |
| 25 | Montrose County, ColoradoCO | D+3.9% | R+36.5 | R+32.6 | 25,626 |
| 26 | Kidder County, North DakotaND | D+3.8% | R+68.1 | R+64.3 | 1,398 |
| 27 | Mesa County, ColoradoCO | D+3.7% | R+28.0 | R+24.3 | 91,620 |
| 28 | Jefferson County, WashingtonWA | D+3.6% | D+41.4 | D+45.1 | 24,698 |
| 29 | Fayette County, GeorgiaGA | D+3.6% | R+6.8 | R+3.1 | 74,956 |
| 30 | Clear Creek County, ColoradoCO | D+3.6% | D+13.0 | D+16.6 | 6,102 |
| 31 | Buncombe County, North CarolinaNC | D+3.6% | D+21.1 | D+24.7 | 160,510 |
| 32 | Rockingham County, VirginiaVA | D+3.6% | R+40.4 | R+36.8 | 48,853 |
| 33 | Los Alamos County, New MexicoNM | D+3.5% | D+26.6 | D+30.2 | 12,187 |
| 34 | Transylvania County, North CarolinaNC | D+3.5% | R+15.6 | R+12.1 | 20,780 |
| 35 | Wallace County, KansasKS | D+3.5% | R+88.0 | R+84.5 | 750 |
| 36 | Gilpin County, ColoradoCO | D+3.4% | D+9.3 | D+12.7 | 4,130 |
| 37 | Walton County, GeorgiaGA | D+3.4% | R+49.2 | R+45.8 | 58,494 |
| 38 | Staunton city, VirginiaVA | D+3.4% | D+9.9 | D+13.3 | 13,626 |
| 39 | Williamsburg city, VirginiaVA | D+3.2% | D+41.1 | D+44.3 | 7,894 |
| 40 | Hinsdale County, ColoradoCO | D+3.1% | R+15.5 | R+12.4 | 607 |
| 41 | Jackson County, GeorgiaGA | D+3.1% | R+58.0 | R+54.9 | 47,375 |
| 42 | Ellis County, TexasTX | D+3.0% | R+34.0 | R+31.0 | 99,818 |
| 43 | Sheridan County, NebraskaNE | D+3.0% | R+72.7 | R+69.7 | 2,497 |
| 44 | Grant County, OklahomaOK | D+3.0% | R+73.5 | R+70.5 | 2,125 |
| 45 | New Kent County, VirginiaVA | D+2.9% | R+34.6 | R+31.7 | 16,807 |
| 46 | Dickens County, TexasTX | D+2.9% | R+73.2 | R+70.3 | 993 |
| 47 | Canadian County, OklahomaOK | D+2.9% | R+43.3 | R+40.4 | 73,074 |
| 48 | Johnston County, North CarolinaNC | D+2.9% | R+24.3 | R+21.5 | 124,678 |
| 49 | Barrow County, GeorgiaGA | D+2.9% | R+43.1 | R+40.3 | 44,157 |
| 50 | Dawson County, GeorgiaGA | D+2.8% | R+67.9 | R+65.0 | 19,623 |
* Alaska estimates: Alaska does not report results by borough. County-level figures are estimates calculated by allocating district-level absentee and early votes to boroughs proportionally based on Election Day precinct results. Haines and Lake & Peninsula Boroughs showed significant R-shifts—the latter is home to Yup'ik Native Alaskans with Russian Orthodox heritage.