Arapahoe County, Colorado: Professional Migration
Colorado · Presidential Elections 1880–2024
D+20.1
2024 Margin
R+4.6%
2020→2024 Swing
D since 2008
Voting Streak
🏘️ Prof. Migration
Classification
655K
Population
Arapahoe County, Colorado voted D+20.1 for Kamala Harris in 2024, with Harris receiving 190,725 votes (58.57%). This represented a R+4.6% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 2008.
Electoral Behavior
🏘️
Professional MigrationView all
Growing metro exurbs and suburbs receiving educated professionals from cities. These areas are shifting blue as remote work and urban flight bring liberal voters. Examples: Atlanta suburbs, DFW exurbs, Denver metro.
Volatility
6.5
Elasticity
Highly elastic
Trend
+0.9/yr
Quick Stats
2024 ResultD+20.1
2020→2024 SwingR+4.6%
Voting StreakD since 2008
Elections on Record37
Demographics
Population655,070
Median Age
37.1(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
63.2%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$92,292(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
56.4%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
21.2%(US: 18.6%)
Black
10.8%(US: 12.3%)
Asian
6.1%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
65.1%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
8.5%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
7.0%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 58.6%(190,725) | 38.5%(125,311) | D+20.1 | -4.6 |
| 2020 | 61.0%(213,673) | 36.4%(127,356) | D+24.6 | +10.5 |
| 2016 | 52.8%(159,885) | 38.6%(117,053) | D+14.1 | +4.2 |
| 2012 | 53.9%(153,905) | 44.0%(125,588) | D+9.9 | -3.0 |
| 2008 | 55.7%(148,218) | 42.8%(113,866) | D+12.9 | +16.9 |
| 2004 | 47.5%(110,262) | 51.4%(119,475) | R+4.0 | +4.0 |
| 2000 | 43.5%(82,614) | 51.5%(97,768) | R+8.0 | +0.9 |
| 1996 | 41.9%(68,306) | 50.8%(82,778) | R+8.9 | -5.8 |
| 1992 | 36.2%(66,607) | 39.3%(72,221) | R+3.0 | +18.8 |
| 1988 | 38.4%(61,113) | 60.2%(95,926) | R+21.9 | +23.4 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 48.0%(107,347) | 46.5%(103,915) | D+1.5 | -11.1 |
| 2008 | 54.0%(139,115) | 41.4%(106,555) | D+12.7 | +19.5 |
| 2002 | 45.0%(68,673) | 51.9%(79,176) | R+6.9 | +5.5 |
| 1996 | 42.6%(68,053) | 55.0%(87,768) | R+12.3 | +9.8 |
| 1990 | 37.9%(42,733) | 60.0%(67,696) | R+22.1 | +22.8 |
| 1984 | 27.0%(39,856) | 71.9%(106,179) | R+44.9 | -3.6 |
| 1978 | 28.8%(22,736) | 70.2%(55,350) | R+41.3 | -24.9 |
| 1972 | 41.3%(29,550) | 57.7%(41,276) | R+16.4 | +14.5 |
| 1966 | 34.5%(14,614) | 65.4%(27,698) | R+30.9 | -13.5 |
| 1960 | 41.1%(17,666) | 58.5%(25,140) | R+17.4 | -12.3 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 57.2%(155,056) | 39.4%(106,833) | D+17.8 | +9.7 |
| 2014 | 52.0%(116,445) | 43.9%(98,374) | D+8.1 | -36.9 |
| 2010 | 52.6%(104,147) | 7.6%(15,011) | D+45.0 | +26.5 |
| 2006 | 58.0%(98,203) | 39.5%(66,907) | D+18.5 | +55.0 |
| 2002 | 30.5%(46,260) | 67.0%(101,542) | R+36.5 | -31.3 |
| 1998 | 46.4%(69,278) | 51.6%(76,996) | R+5.2 | -24.7 |
| 1994 | 57.3%(68,323) | 37.8%(45,007) | D+19.6 | -11.2 |
| 1990 | 64.2%(71,709) | 33.5%(37,396) | D+30.7 | +21.2 |
| 1986 | 54.4%(64,340) | 44.8%(53,071) | D+9.5 | -18.9 |
| 1982 | 62.9%(64,383) | 34.4%(35,265) | D+28.4 | +16.7 |
Primary Election History
| Year | Party | Winner | Runner-up | Nominee? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | GOP | Donald Trump(59.3%) | Nikki Haley(37.3%) | ✓ |
| 2020 | Dem | Bernie Sanders(36.0%) | Joe Biden(25.8%) | ✗ |
| 2016 | Dem | Bernie Sanders(53.0%) | Hillary Clinton(46.3%) | ✗ |
| 2008 | Dem | Barack Obama(65.2%) | Hillary Clinton(34.1%) | ✓ |
✓ = County picked eventual party nominee