El Paso County, Colorado: Professional Migration
Colorado Β· Presidential Elections 1880β2024
R+9.8
2024 Margin
D+1.0%
2020β2024 Swing
R since 1968
Voting Streak
ποΈ Prof. Migration
Classification
730K
Population
El Paso County, Colorado voted R+9.8 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 203,933 votes (53.53%). This represented a D+1.0% swing toward Democrats compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1968.
Electoral Behavior
ποΈ
Professional MigrationView all
Growing metro exurbs and suburbs receiving educated professionals from cities. These areas are shifting blue as remote work and urban flight bring liberal voters. Examples: Atlanta suburbs, DFW exurbs, Denver metro.
Volatility
3.9
Elasticity
Highly elastic
Trend
+0.5/yr
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+9.8
2020β2024 SwingD+1.0%
Voting StreakR since 1968
Elections on Record37
Demographics
Population730,395
Median Age
34.7(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
57.2%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$82,748(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
66.4%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
18.3%(US: 18.6%)
Black
6.0%(US: 12.3%)
Asian
2.8%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
66.4%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
8.5%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
15.8%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 43.7%(166,597) | 53.5%(203,933) | R+9.8 | +1.0 |
| 2020 | 42.7%(161,636) | 53.5%(202,560) | R+10.8 | +11.5 |
| 2016 | 33.9%(108,010) | 56.2%(179,228) | R+22.3 | -1.9 |
| 2012 | 38.5%(111,819) | 58.9%(170,952) | R+20.4 | -1.6 |
| 2008 | 39.9%(108,899) | 58.7%(160,318) | R+18.8 | +15.8 |
| 2004 | 32.1%(77,648) | 66.7%(161,361) | R+34.6 | -1.5 |
| 2000 | 30.8%(61,799) | 63.9%(128,294) | R+33.1 | -6.3 |
| 1996 | 32.2%(55,822) | 59.0%(102,403) | R+26.9 | -2.8 |
| 1992 | 27.4%(45,827) | 51.5%(86,044) | R+24.1 | +17.1 |
| 1988 | 28.9%(39,995) | 70.0%(96,965) | R+41.1 | +10.0 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 32.1%(73,208) | 62.0%(141,475) | R+29.9 | -11.7 |
| 2008 | 38.4%(100,876) | 56.6%(148,716) | R+18.2 | +17.3 |
| 2002 | 30.5%(46,617) | 66.0%(100,958) | R+35.5 | -7.6 |
| 1996 | 34.7%(60,122) | 62.6%(108,417) | R+27.9 | +9.3 |
| 1990 | 29.9%(32,218) | 67.1%(72,184) | R+37.1 | +16.6 |
| 1984 | 22.7%(27,370) | 76.5%(92,217) | R+53.8 | -16.2 |
| 1978 | 30.8%(20,088) | 68.4%(44,641) | R+37.6 | -40.6 |
| 1972 | 50.4%(38,173) | 47.4%(35,908) | D+3.0 | +30.1 |
| 1966 | 36.5%(15,892) | 63.5%(27,694) | R+27.1 | -2.9 |
| 1960 | 37.6%(18,461) | 61.7%(30,319) | R+24.1 | -5.0 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 39.5%(109,154) | 56.1%(155,006) | R+16.6 | +10.8 |
| 2014 | 33.6%(76,678) | 61.1%(139,140) | R+27.4 | -46.4 |
| 2010 | 37.1%(72,107) | 18.1%(35,160) | D+19.0 | +36.5 |
| 2006 | 39.8%(69,237) | 57.2%(99,613) | R+17.4 | +35.9 |
| 2002 | 21.4%(32,680) | 74.7%(114,263) | R+53.4 | -27.9 |
| 1998 | 35.7%(50,199) | 61.2%(86,037) | R+25.5 | -10.8 |
| 1994 | 37.9%(46,381) | 52.7%(64,412) | R+14.8 | +11.5 |
| 1990 | 35.7%(38,107) | 62.0%(66,190) | R+26.3 | -12.7 |
| 1986 | 43.0%(43,313) | 56.5%(56,972) | R+13.6 | -30.9 |
| 1982 | 57.6%(44,078) | 40.2%(30,760) | D+17.4 | +20.4 |
Primary Election History
| Year | Party | Winner | Runner-up | Nominee? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | GOP | Donald Trump(78.7%) | Nikki Haley(18.4%) | β |
| 2020 | Dem | Bernie Sanders(36.5%) | Joe Biden(26.4%) | β |
| 2016 | Dem | Bernie Sanders(60.9%) | Hillary Clinton(38.6%) | β |
| 2008 | Dem | Barack Obama(69.7%) | Hillary Clinton(29.4%) | β |
β = County picked eventual party nominee