Bath County, Kentucky: Northern Rural Secular
Kentucky · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
R+51.3
2024 Margin
R+8.4%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2008
Voting Streak
🌾 N. Rural
Classification
13K
Population
Bath County, Kentucky voted R+51.3 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 4,041 votes (74.99%). This represented a R+8.4% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2008.
Electoral Behavior
🌾
Northern Rural SecularView all
Rural counties in the Upper Midwest (MN/IA/WI/IN/MO/IL/MI) that voted for Obama in 2008 but have swung dramatically toward Republicans. These historically Democratic, secular farming communities have realigned.
Volatility
7.5
Elasticity
Sticky
Trend
-2.4/yr (red)
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+51.3
2020→2024 SwingR+8.4%
Voting StreakR since 2008
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population12,750
Median Age
39.5(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
20.1%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$51,471(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
94.8%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
1.8%(US: 18.6%)
Homeownership
72.8%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
23.5%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
4.6%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23.7%(1,278) | 75.0%(4,041) | R+51.3 | -8.4 |
| 2020 | 27.9%(1,573) | 70.8%(3,986) | R+42.9 | -5.4 |
| 2016 | 29.7%(1,361) | 67.2%(3,082) | R+37.5 | -25.3 |
| 2012 | 42.9%(1,770) | 55.2%(2,275) | R+12.3 | -11.7 |
| 2008 | 48.6%(2,210) | 49.2%(2,234) | R+0.5 | -7.4 |
| 2004 | 53.0%(2,608) | 46.1%(2,269) | D+6.9 | +11.7 |
| 2000 | 46.7%(2,087) | 51.5%(2,303) | R+4.8 | -23.2 |
| 1996 | 52.8%(1,886) | 34.4%(1,229) | D+18.4 | -4.7 |
| 1992 | 53.0%(2,229) | 29.9%(1,259) | D+23.1 | +10.1 |
| 1988 | 56.4%(2,099) | 43.3%(1,614) | D+13.0 | +19.3 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 33.2%(1,404) | 66.8%(2,827) | R+33.6 | -3.1 |
| 2020 | 32.6%(1,827) | 63.0%(3,537) | R+30.5 | -26.7 |
| 2016 | 48.1%(2,154) | 51.9%(2,324) | R+3.8 | -6.8 |
| 2014 | 49.3%(1,890) | 46.3%(1,777) | D+3.0 | -13.9 |
| 2010 | 58.4%(1,981) | 41.6%(1,409) | D+16.9 | -5.8 |
| 2008 | 61.4%(2,747) | 38.6%(1,730) | D+22.7 | -4.3 |
| 2004 | 63.5%(2,910) | 36.5%(1,673) | D+27.0 | +33.9 |
| 2002 | 46.5%(1,564) | 53.5%(1,796) | R+6.9 | -50.0 |
| 1998 | 71.3%(2,894) | 28.2%(1,145) | D+43.1 | +37.6 |
| 1996 | 51.8%(1,665) | 46.3%(1,487) | D+5.5 | -50.5 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 55.8%(1,913) | 44.2%(1,515) | D+11.6 | +5.7 |
| 2019 | 52.0%(1,886) | 46.1%(1,672) | D+5.9 | +2.7 |
| 2015 | 49.9%(1,117) | 46.6%(1,045) | D+3.2 | -32.8 |
| 2011 | 58.6%(1,081) | 22.6%(417) | D+36.0 | +2.2 |
| 2007 | 66.9%(2,297) | 33.1%(1,136) | D+33.8 | +18.9 |
| 2003 | 57.4%(1,887) | 42.6%(1,398) | D+14.9 | -24.1 |
| 1999 | 54.8%(682) | 15.8%(197) | D+39.0 | +22.1 |
| 1995 | 58.3%(1,844) | 41.4%(1,309) | D+16.9 | -30.6 |
| 1991 | 73.8%(2,843) | 26.2%(1,010) | D+47.6 | -18.9 |
| 1987 | 83.2%(2,172) | 16.8%(438) | D+66.4 | +34.5 |
Primary Election History
| Year | Party | Winner | Runner-up | Nominee? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | GOP | Donald Trump(92.6%) | Other(5.0%) | ✓ |
| 2020 | Dem | Joe Biden(57.0%) | Other(25.2%) | ✓ |
| 2016 | Dem | Bernie Sanders(46.5%) | Hillary Clinton(45.6%) | ✗ |
| 2016 | GOP | Donald Trump(39.8%) | Ted Cruz(36.5%) | ✓ |
| 2008 | Dem | Hillary Clinton(83.1%) | Barack Obama(12.6%) | ✗ |
✓ = County picked eventual party nominee