Lawrence County, Kentucky: Northern Rural Secular
Kentucky · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
R+67.2
2024 Margin
R+4.0%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2000
Voting Streak
🌾 N. Rural
Classification
16K
Population
Lawrence County, Kentucky voted R+67.2 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 5,464 votes (83.12%). This represented a R+4.0% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2000.
Electoral Behavior
🌾
Northern Rural SecularView all
Rural counties in the Upper Midwest (MN/IA/WI/IN/MO/IL/MI) that voted for Obama in 2008 but have swung dramatically toward Republicans. These historically Democratic, secular farming communities have realigned.
Volatility
12.0
Elasticity
Moderate
Trend
-2.7/yr (red)
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+67.2
2020→2024 SwingR+4.0%
Voting StreakR since 2000
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population16,293
Median Age
41.2(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
20.0%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$42,488(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
96.8%(US: 57.5%)
Homeownership
76.3%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
22.0%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
4.3%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 15.9%(1,044) | 83.1%(5,464) | R+67.2 | -4.0 |
| 2020 | 17.8%(1,238) | 81.0%(5,633) | R+63.2 | -0.8 |
| 2016 | 17.3%(1,045) | 79.7%(4,816) | R+62.4 | -18.1 |
| 2012 | 27.2%(1,520) | 71.4%(3,995) | R+44.3 | -18.3 |
| 2008 | 36.0%(2,036) | 62.0%(3,503) | R+26.0 | -9.8 |
| 2004 | 41.5%(2,705) | 57.6%(3,755) | R+16.1 | -2.7 |
| 2000 | 42.5%(2,258) | 55.9%(2,969) | R+13.4 | -21.9 |
| 1996 | 48.8%(2,195) | 40.2%(1,812) | D+8.5 | +2.3 |
| 1992 | 47.5%(2,400) | 41.2%(2,084) | D+6.3 | +8.4 |
| 1988 | 48.8%(2,198) | 50.9%(2,294) | R+2.1 | +7.8 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 23.0%(948) | 77.0%(3,179) | R+54.1 | -2.5 |
| 2020 | 22.0%(1,520) | 73.5%(5,089) | R+51.6 | -27.1 |
| 2016 | 37.8%(2,218) | 62.2%(3,652) | R+24.4 | +0.4 |
| 2014 | 35.6%(1,842) | 60.5%(3,128) | R+24.9 | -15.1 |
| 2010 | 45.1%(2,207) | 54.9%(2,685) | R+9.8 | -4.7 |
| 2008 | 47.5%(2,641) | 52.5%(2,923) | R+5.1 | +3.6 |
| 2004 | 45.6%(2,790) | 54.4%(3,322) | R+8.7 | +11.4 |
| 2002 | 39.9%(2,017) | 60.1%(3,035) | R+20.1 | -20.7 |
| 1998 | 50.0%(2,546) | 49.5%(2,519) | D+0.5 | +1.3 |
| 1996 | 49.0%(2,053) | 49.8%(2,083) | R+0.7 | -27.9 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 37.3%(1,361) | 62.7%(2,287) | R+25.4 | -2.8 |
| 2019 | 37.9%(1,515) | 60.4%(2,417) | R+22.5 | +1.7 |
| 2015 | 36.6%(973) | 60.8%(1,616) | R+24.2 | -37.8 |
| 2011 | 54.3%(1,270) | 40.7%(952) | D+13.6 | -20.6 |
| 2007 | 67.1%(2,150) | 32.9%(1,055) | D+34.2 | +32.6 |
| 2003 | 50.8%(1,654) | 49.2%(1,603) | D+1.6 | -44.4 |
| 1999 | 69.1%(1,341) | 23.1%(448) | D+46.0 | +11.5 |
| 1995 | 67.2%(2,220) | 32.7%(1,080) | D+34.5 | +2.6 |
| 1991 | 66.0%(1,715) | 34.0%(885) | D+31.9 | +4.5 |
| 1987 | 63.7%(1,645) | 36.3%(937) | D+27.4 | +14.3 |
Primary Election History
| Year | Party | Winner | Runner-up | Nominee? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | GOP | Donald Trump(92.7%) | Other(5.2%) | ✓ |
| 2020 | Dem | Joe Biden(61.6%) | Other(18.5%) | ✓ |
| 2016 | Dem | Bernie Sanders(52.4%) | Hillary Clinton(35.3%) | ✗ |
| 2016 | GOP | Donald Trump(50.4%) | Ted Cruz(25.2%) | ✓ |
| 2008 | Dem | Hillary Clinton(85.1%) | Barack Obama(10.9%) | ✗ |
✓ = County picked eventual party nominee