Magoffin County, Kentucky: Northern Rural Secular
Kentucky · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
R+64.0
2024 Margin
R+9.6%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2008
Voting Streak
🌾 N. Rural
Classification
12K
Population
Magoffin County, Kentucky voted R+64.0 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 4,288 votes (81.18%). This represented a R+9.6% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2008.
Electoral Behavior
🌾
Northern Rural SecularView all
Rural counties in the Upper Midwest (MN/IA/WI/IN/MO/IL/MI) that voted for Obama in 2008 but have swung dramatically toward Republicans. These historically Democratic, secular farming communities have realigned.
Volatility
11.7
Elasticity
Highly elastic
Trend
-3.0/yr (red)
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+64.0
2020→2024 SwingR+9.6%
Voting StreakR since 2008
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population11,637
Median Age
41.4(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
21.9%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$31,927(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
97.6%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
1.3%(US: 18.6%)
Homeownership
77.5%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
33.4%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
4.2%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17.2%(909) | 81.2%(4,288) | R+64.0 | -9.6 |
| 2020 | 22.3%(1,214) | 76.6%(4,174) | R+54.3 | -2.5 |
| 2016 | 22.9%(1,172) | 74.8%(3,824) | R+51.8 | -11.9 |
| 2012 | 29.2%(1,433) | 69.1%(3,391) | R+39.9 | -32.8 |
| 2008 | 45.3%(2,105) | 52.3%(2,434) | R+7.1 | -7.2 |
| 2004 | 49.7%(2,843) | 49.6%(2,836) | D+0.1 | +3.5 |
| 2000 | 47.7%(2,603) | 51.1%(2,785) | R+3.3 | -23.5 |
| 1996 | 55.6%(2,249) | 35.5%(1,434) | D+20.1 | -2.1 |
| 1992 | 57.1%(3,261) | 34.9%(1,992) | D+22.2 | +7.7 |
| 1988 | 57.0%(2,895) | 42.5%(2,158) | D+14.5 | +3.2 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 30.2%(1,472) | 69.8%(3,404) | R+39.6 | +5.8 |
| 2020 | 25.7%(1,393) | 71.1%(3,857) | R+45.4 | -33.5 |
| 2016 | 44.1%(2,171) | 55.9%(2,756) | R+11.9 | +6.1 |
| 2014 | 39.8%(2,523) | 57.8%(3,662) | R+18.0 | -29.3 |
| 2010 | 55.7%(3,143) | 44.3%(2,504) | D+11.3 | -6.3 |
| 2008 | 58.8%(2,719) | 41.2%(1,904) | D+17.6 | +3.1 |
| 2004 | 57.3%(2,816) | 42.7%(2,100) | D+14.6 | +14.8 |
| 2002 | 49.9%(2,458) | 50.1%(2,470) | R+0.2 | -19.2 |
| 1998 | 59.3%(3,099) | 40.3%(2,108) | D+19.0 | +6.7 |
| 1996 | 54.6%(1,979) | 42.4%(1,535) | D+12.3 | -29.3 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 50.4%(1,577) | 49.6%(1,553) | D+0.8 | +48.0 |
| 2019 | 25.1%(554) | 72.4%(1,596) | R+47.3 | -36.7 |
| 2015 | 43.3%(987) | 53.9%(1,229) | R+10.6 | -36.9 |
| 2011 | 59.9%(1,476) | 33.6%(829) | D+26.3 | -15.2 |
| 2007 | 70.7%(2,301) | 29.3%(952) | D+41.5 | +19.9 |
| 2003 | 60.8%(2,294) | 39.2%(1,481) | D+21.5 | -5.4 |
| 1999 | 56.9%(1,824) | 29.9%(959) | D+27.0 | -1.1 |
| 1995 | 64.0%(2,747) | 36.0%(1,544) | D+28.0 | -24.7 |
| 1991 | 76.4%(3,333) | 23.6%(1,032) | D+52.7 | +8.2 |
| 1987 | 72.3%(3,227) | 27.7%(1,239) | D+44.5 | +22.0 |
Primary Election History
| Year | Party | Winner | Runner-up | Nominee? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | GOP | Donald Trump(96.0%) | Nikki Haley(2.2%) | ✓ |
| 2020 | Dem | Joe Biden(65.7%) | Other(18.6%) | ✓ |
| 2016 | Dem | Bernie Sanders(52.3%) | Hillary Clinton(42.7%) | ✗ |
| 2016 | GOP | Donald Trump(57.8%) | Ted Cruz(19.5%) | ✓ |
| 2008 | Dem | Hillary Clinton(93.0%) | Barack Obama(5.0%) | ✗ |
✓ = County picked eventual party nominee