Marion County, Kentucky: Northern Rural Secular
Kentucky · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
R+43.5
2024 Margin
R+5.5%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2000
Voting Streak
🌾 N. Rural
Classification
20K
Population
Marion County, Kentucky voted R+43.5 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 6,473 votes (71.12%). This represented a R+5.5% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2000.
Electoral Behavior
🌾
Northern Rural SecularView all
Rural counties in the Upper Midwest (MN/IA/WI/IN/MO/IL/MI) that voted for Obama in 2008 but have swung dramatically toward Republicans. These historically Democratic, secular farming communities have realigned.
Volatility
8.3
Elasticity
Inelastic
Trend
-2.1/yr (red)
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+43.5
2020→2024 SwingR+5.5%
Voting StreakR since 2000
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population19,581
Median Age
39.8(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
18.9%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$49,627(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
86.7%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
3.5%(US: 18.6%)
Black
6.2%(US: 12.3%)
Homeownership
77.3%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
19.5%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
7.5%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 27.6%(2,513) | 71.1%(6,473) | R+43.5 | -5.5 |
| 2020 | 30.5%(2,722) | 68.5%(6,113) | R+38.0 | -7.9 |
| 2016 | 33.0%(2,679) | 63.1%(5,122) | R+30.1 | -24.9 |
| 2012 | 46.7%(3,418) | 51.9%(3,800) | R+5.2 | -2.0 |
| 2008 | 47.2%(3,596) | 50.5%(3,842) | R+3.2 | +3.6 |
| 2004 | 46.2%(3,399) | 53.1%(3,905) | R+6.9 | +0.9 |
| 2000 | 45.0%(2,778) | 52.8%(3,259) | R+7.8 | -23.7 |
| 1996 | 51.2%(2,922) | 35.3%(2,013) | D+15.9 | -4.8 |
| 1992 | 53.8%(3,403) | 33.1%(2,091) | D+20.8 | +9.3 |
| 1988 | 55.6%(3,152) | 44.1%(2,500) | D+11.5 | +19.1 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 35.8%(2,112) | 64.2%(3,782) | R+28.3 | -4.4 |
| 2020 | 35.4%(3,144) | 59.3%(5,274) | R+23.9 | -26.4 |
| 2016 | 51.3%(4,086) | 48.8%(3,887) | D+2.5 | -10.5 |
| 2014 | 55.3%(3,267) | 42.3%(2,498) | D+13.0 | +0.4 |
| 2010 | 56.2%(3,029) | 43.6%(2,349) | D+12.6 | -2.8 |
| 2008 | 57.7%(4,304) | 42.3%(3,158) | D+15.4 | -2.2 |
| 2004 | 58.8%(4,112) | 41.2%(2,881) | D+17.6 | +35.7 |
| 2002 | 41.0%(2,217) | 59.0%(3,194) | R+18.1 | -48.2 |
| 1998 | 64.3%(2,987) | 34.1%(1,586) | D+30.1 | +25.6 |
| 1996 | 51.5%(2,671) | 47.0%(2,436) | D+4.5 | -52.1 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 52.1%(2,891) | 47.8%(2,653) | D+4.3 | +13.6 |
| 2019 | 44.3%(2,246) | 53.6%(2,719) | R+9.3 | -23.3 |
| 2015 | 55.2%(2,132) | 41.2%(1,591) | D+14.0 | -40.5 |
| 2011 | 72.9%(2,929) | 18.4%(738) | D+54.5 | +14.6 |
| 2007 | 70.0%(3,350) | 30.1%(1,439) | D+39.9 | +25.5 |
| 2003 | 57.2%(2,940) | 42.8%(2,200) | D+14.4 | -47.5 |
| 1999 | 73.0%(2,288) | 11.1%(348) | D+61.9 | +42.2 |
| 1995 | 59.7%(2,404) | 40.0%(1,612) | D+19.7 | -27.1 |
| 1991 | 73.4%(2,600) | 26.6%(944) | D+46.7 | -16.7 |
| 1987 | 81.7%(3,128) | 18.3%(700) | D+63.4 | +43.3 |
Primary Election History
| Year | Party | Winner | Runner-up | Nominee? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | GOP | Donald Trump(90.9%) | Other(6.3%) | ✓ |
| 2020 | Dem | Joe Biden(64.2%) | Other(18.3%) | ✓ |
| 2016 | Dem | Hillary Clinton(50.3%) | Bernie Sanders(42.5%) | ✓ |
| 2016 | GOP | Donald Trump(41.4%) | Ted Cruz(27.9%) | ✓ |
| 2008 | Dem | Hillary Clinton(79.0%) | Barack Obama(17.7%) | ✗ |
✓ = County picked eventual party nominee