Barnstable County, Massachusetts: Professional Migration
Massachusetts Β· Presidential Elections 1892β2024
D+20.6
2024 Margin
R+3.6%
2020β2024 Swing
D since 1992
Voting Streak
ποΈ Prof. Migration
Classification
229K
Population
Barnstable County, Massachusetts voted D+20.6 for Kamala Harris in 2024, with Harris receiving 88,129 votes (59.23%). This represented a R+3.6% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 1992.
Electoral Behavior
ποΈ
Professional MigrationView all
Growing metro exurbs and suburbs receiving educated professionals from cities. These areas are shifting blue as remote work and urban flight bring liberal voters. Examples: Atlanta suburbs, DFW exurbs, Denver metro.
Volatility
2.5
Elasticity
Highly elastic
Trend
Stable
Quick Stats
2024 ResultD+20.6
2020β2024 SwingR+3.6%
Voting StreakD since 1992
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population228,996
Median Age
54.5(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
69.0%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$90,447(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
85.9%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
3.5%(US: 18.6%)
Black
2.9%(US: 12.3%)
Asian
1.5%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
80.5%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
7.4%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
7.6%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 59.2%(88,129) | 38.6%(57,451) | D+20.6 | -3.6 |
| 2020 | 60.7%(91,994) | 36.5%(55,311) | D+24.2 | +10.9 |
| 2016 | 52.5%(72,430) | 39.2%(54,099) | D+13.3 | +5.5 |
| 2012 | 53.2%(70,822) | 45.4%(60,446) | D+7.8 | -6.2 |
| 2008 | 56.1%(74,264) | 42.1%(55,694) | D+14.0 | +3.7 |
| 2004 | 54.6%(72,156) | 44.3%(58,527) | D+10.3 | -0.2 |
| 2000 | 51.5%(62,363) | 41.0%(49,686) | D+10.5 | -6.8 |
| 1996 | 53.5%(59,223) | 36.3%(40,144) | D+17.2 | +5.6 |
| 1992 | 42.8%(46,641) | 31.1%(33,916) | D+11.7 | +12.6 |
| 1988 | 48.8%(48,747) | 49.7%(49,676) | R+0.9 | +13.4 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 54.2%(81,395) | 43.7%(65,709) | D+10.4 | -11.1 |
| 2020 | 60.5%(89,977) | 39.0%(57,965) | D+21.5 | +12.3 |
| 2018 | 53.0%(62,670) | 43.8%(51,810) | D+9.2 | +2.1 |
| 2014 | 53.5%(51,317) | 46.4%(44,534) | D+7.1 | +13.8 |
| 2013 | 46.5%(27,982) | 53.2%(32,020) | R+6.7 | -2.0 |
| 2012 | 47.6%(63,277) | 52.4%(69,597) | R+4.8 | +10.9 |
| 2010 | 41.7%(43,609) | 57.4%(59,990) | R+15.7 | -27.9 |
| 2008 | 55.0%(71,509) | 42.8%(55,673) | D+12.2 | -11.1 |
| 2006 | 61.5%(63,412) | 38.3%(39,471) | D+23.2 | -53.2 |
| 2002 | 76.5%(70,393) | 0.0%(0) | D+76.5 | +25.4 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 59.1%(70,163) | 38.8%(46,011) | D+20.3 | +68.1 |
| 2018 | 25.9%(30,169) | 73.7%(85,726) | R+47.8 | -36.8 |
| 2014 | 42.5%(41,525) | 53.4%(52,251) | R+11.0 | -7.7 |
| 2010 | 44.2%(47,124) | 47.5%(50,609) | R+3.3 | -5.9 |
| 2006 | 45.8%(47,713) | 43.1%(44,986) | D+2.6 | +20.1 |
| 2002 | 38.9%(39,640) | 56.3%(57,466) | R+17.5 | -6.2 |
| 1998 | 43.4%(40,259) | 54.7%(50,690) | R+11.3 | +39.3 |
| 1994 | 24.4%(26,996) | 75.0%(83,088) | R+50.6 | -35.8 |
| 1990 | 41.2%(37,474) | 56.0%(50,911) | R+14.8 | -40.4 |
| 1986 | 62.8%(41,644) | 37.2%(24,641) | D+25.6 | +23.4 |
Primary Election History
| Year | Party | Winner | Runner-up | Nominee? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | GOP | Donald Trump(58.6%) | Nikki Haley(37.9%) | β |
| 2020 | Dem | Joe Biden(38.5%) | Bernie Sanders(21.8%) | β |
| 2016 | Dem | Bernie Sanders(50.1%) | Hillary Clinton(48.8%) | β |
| 2016 | GOP | Donald Trump(54.5%) | John Kasich(17.2%) | β |
| 2012 | Dem | Barack Obama(89.4%) | Other(10.6%) | β |
| 2008 | Dem | Hillary Clinton(50.7%) | Barack Obama(46.5%) | β |
β = County picked eventual party nominee