Dawson County, Montana: Northern Rural Secular
Montana · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
R+58.9
2024 Margin
R+1.0%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2000
Voting Streak
🌾 N. Rural
Classification
9K
Population
Dawson County, Montana voted R+58.9 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 3,627 votes (78.2%). This represented a R+1.0% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2000.
Electoral Behavior
🌾
Northern Rural SecularView all
Rural counties in the Upper Midwest (MN/IA/WI/IN/MO/IL/MI) that voted for Obama in 2008 but have swung dramatically toward Republicans. These historically Democratic, secular farming communities have realigned.
Volatility
9.4
Elasticity
Moderate
Trend
-2.2/yr (red)
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+58.9
2020→2024 SwingR+1.0%
Voting StreakR since 2000
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population8,940
Median Age
42.8(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
35.1%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$68,168(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
90.9%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
3.4%(US: 18.6%)
Homeownership
72.4%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
8.8%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
8.3%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19.3%(894) | 78.2%(3,627) | R+58.9 | -1.0 |
| 2020 | 19.9%(962) | 77.9%(3,758) | R+58.0 | -0.5 |
| 2016 | 17.9%(787) | 75.3%(3,320) | R+57.5 | -16.5 |
| 2012 | 27.6%(1,219) | 68.5%(3,029) | R+40.9 | -17.3 |
| 2008 | 35.9%(1,593) | 59.5%(2,639) | R+23.6 | +7.4 |
| 2004 | 33.3%(1,494) | 64.3%(2,884) | R+31.0 | +0.8 |
| 2000 | 31.9%(1,364) | 63.8%(2,723) | R+31.8 | -32.1 |
| 1996 | 40.7%(1,903) | 40.5%(1,890) | D+0.3 | -1.9 |
| 1992 | 36.8%(1,785) | 34.6%(1,679) | D+2.2 | +13.2 |
| 1988 | 43.4%(2,120) | 54.4%(2,658) | R+11.0 | +20.8 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 27.1%(1,259) | 70.3%(3,269) | R+43.2 | +7.5 |
| 2020 | 24.6%(1,189) | 75.3%(3,634) | R+50.7 | -14.7 |
| 2018 | 30.3%(1,233) | 66.3%(2,700) | R+36.0 | +7.6 |
| 2014 | 26.9%(877) | 70.6%(2,297) | R+43.6 | -22.6 |
| 2012 | 35.5%(1,571) | 56.5%(2,504) | R+21.1 | -58.9 |
| 2008 | 68.9%(3,012) | 31.1%(1,357) | D+37.9 | +54.5 |
| 2006 | 40.3%(1,597) | 56.8%(2,254) | R+16.6 | -46.8 |
| 2002 | 63.6%(2,286) | 33.4%(1,199) | D+30.2 | +48.7 |
| 2000 | 39.8%(1,724) | 58.3%(2,525) | R+18.5 | -19.9 |
| 1996 | 49.0%(2,334) | 47.6%(2,268) | D+1.4 | +35.0 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20.1%(926) | 77.2%(3,553) | R+57.1 | -7.3 |
| 2020 | 23.3%(1,124) | 73.0%(3,524) | R+49.7 | -3.0 |
| 2016 | 24.3%(1,077) | 71.1%(3,147) | R+46.8 | -20.1 |
| 2012 | 34.8%(1,537) | 61.5%(2,712) | R+26.6 | -44.7 |
| 2008 | 58.1%(2,576) | 40.1%(1,777) | D+18.0 | +19.1 |
| 2004 | 48.3%(2,143) | 49.5%(2,193) | R+1.1 | +14.6 |
| 2000 | 41.3%(1,760) | 57.1%(2,433) | R+15.8 | +45.9 |
| 1996 | 19.2%(897) | 80.8%(3,781) | R+61.6 | -54.0 |
| 1992 | 46.2%(2,238) | 53.8%(2,607) | R+7.6 | -8.6 |
| 1988 | 49.8%(2,447) | 48.8%(2,399) | D+1.0 | -36.5 |
Primary Election History
| Year | Party | Winner | Runner-up | Nominee? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | GOP | Donald Trump(90.0%) | Other(10.0%) | ✓ |
| 2020 | Dem | Joe Biden(80.1%) | Bernie Sanders(9.2%) | ✓ |
| 2016 | Dem | Bernie Sanders(47.4%) | Hillary Clinton(46.1%) | ✗ |
| 2016 | GOP | Donald Trump(80.1%) | Ted Cruz(7.5%) | ✓ |
| 2008 | Dem | Hillary Clinton(52.7%) | Barack Obama(43.1%) | ✗ |
✓ = County picked eventual party nominee