Petroleum County, Montana: Northern Rural Secular
Montana · Presidential Elections 1928–2024
R+76.2
2024 Margin
R+1.8%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1968
Voting Streak
🌾 N. Rural
Classification
0K
Population
Petroleum County, Montana voted R+76.2 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 284 votes (87.65%). This represented a R+1.8% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1968.
Electoral Behavior
🌾
Northern Rural SecularView all
Rural counties in the Upper Midwest (MN/IA/WI/IN/MO/IL/MI) that voted for Obama in 2008 but have swung dramatically toward Republicans. These historically Democratic, secular farming communities have realigned.
Volatility
5.6
Elasticity
Moderate
Trend
-1.6/yr (red)
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+76.2
2020→2024 SwingR+1.8%
Voting StreakR since 1968
Elections on Record25
Demographics
Population496
Median Age
49.6(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
36.5%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$57,981(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
99.3%(US: 57.5%)
Asian
1.9%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
77.0%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
6.5%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
17.8%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11.4%(37) | 87.7%(284) | R+76.2 | -1.8 |
| 2020 | 11.2%(39) | 85.6%(298) | R+74.4 | +2.6 |
| 2016 | 9.3%(30) | 86.3%(278) | R+77.0 | -12.9 |
| 2012 | 16.4%(49) | 80.5%(240) | R+64.1 | -11.1 |
| 2008 | 22.7%(68) | 75.7%(227) | R+53.0 | +6.3 |
| 2004 | 18.8%(55) | 78.1%(228) | R+59.3 | +12.0 |
| 2000 | 11.8%(36) | 83.0%(254) | R+71.2 | -28.5 |
| 1996 | 21.4%(62) | 64.1%(186) | R+42.8 | -17.8 |
| 1992 | 20.6%(61) | 45.6%(135) | R+25.0 | +12.4 |
| 1988 | 30.1%(91) | 67.5%(204) | R+37.4 | +12.1 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 15.2%(50) | 83.5%(274) | R+68.3 | +2.6 |
| 2020 | 14.5%(51) | 85.5%(300) | R+70.9 | -10.0 |
| 2018 | 18.6%(58) | 79.5%(248) | R+60.9 | +7.7 |
| 2014 | 15.1%(36) | 83.7%(200) | R+68.6 | -25.5 |
| 2012 | 24.4%(73) | 67.6%(202) | R+43.1 | -66.4 |
| 2008 | 61.6%(183) | 38.4%(114) | D+23.2 | +63.2 |
| 2006 | 27.9%(74) | 67.9%(180) | R+40.0 | -56.7 |
| 2002 | 53.9%(132) | 37.1%(91) | D+16.7 | +73.6 |
| 2000 | 20.3%(63) | 77.2%(240) | R+56.9 | -21.2 |
| 1996 | 30.6%(90) | 66.3%(195) | R+35.7 | +31.7 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 10.6%(35) | 87.0%(287) | R+76.4 | -3.5 |
| 2020 | 12.6%(44) | 85.4%(299) | R+72.9 | -20.6 |
| 2016 | 22.4%(74) | 74.6%(247) | R+52.3 | +4.3 |
| 2012 | 20.7%(62) | 77.3%(231) | R+56.5 | -52.5 |
| 2008 | 46.8%(139) | 50.8%(151) | R+4.0 | +27.1 |
| 2004 | 32.9%(95) | 64.0%(185) | R+31.1 | +22.1 |
| 2000 | 22.6%(70) | 75.8%(235) | R+53.2 | +25.9 |
| 1996 | 10.4%(30) | 89.5%(257) | R+79.1 | -41.3 |
| 1992 | 31.1%(92) | 68.9%(204) | R+37.8 | -14.2 |
| 1988 | 36.6%(113) | 60.2%(186) | R+23.6 | -70.3 |
Primary Election History
| Year | Party | Winner | Runner-up | Nominee? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | GOP | Donald Trump(98.3%) | Other(1.7%) | ✓ |
| 2020 | Dem | Joe Biden(60.0%) | Elizabeth Warren(16.7%) | ✓ |
| 2016 | Dem | Bernie Sanders(47.1%) | Hillary Clinton(47.1%) | ✗ |
| 2016 | GOP | Donald Trump(86.1%) | Ted Cruz(4.6%) | ✓ |
| 2008 | Dem | Hillary Clinton(55.1%) | Barack Obama(39.1%) | ✗ |
✓ = County picked eventual party nominee