Guadalupe County, New Mexico: null
New Mexico · Presidential Elections 1912–2024
D+0.7
2024 Margin
R+13.8%
2020→2024 Swing
D since 1988
Voting Streak
Classification
4K
Population
Guadalupe County, New Mexico voted D+0.7 for Kamala Harris in 2024, with Harris receiving 959 votes (49.48%). This represented a R+13.8% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 1988.
Electoral Behavior
Volatility
8.5
Elasticity
Sticky
Trend
-0.9/yr
Quick Stats
2024 ResultD+0.7
2020→2024 SwingR+13.8%
Voting StreakD since 1988
Elections on Record29
Demographics
Population4,452
Median Age
43.0(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
19.8%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$38,713(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
16.9%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
74.5%(US: 18.6%)
Black
1.7%(US: 12.3%)
Homeownership
78.4%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
23.0%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
7.3%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 49.5%(959) | 48.8%(945) | D+0.7 | -13.8 |
| 2020 | 56.4%(1,234) | 41.9%(917) | D+14.5 | -6.1 |
| 2016 | 53.1%(970) | 32.6%(595) | D+20.5 | -23.1 |
| 2012 | 69.7%(1,488) | 26.1%(557) | D+43.6 | +0.9 |
| 2008 | 70.9%(1,557) | 28.2%(620) | D+42.7 | +23.9 |
| 2004 | 59.1%(1,340) | 40.3%(914) | D+18.8 | -13.2 |
| 2000 | 65.2%(1,076) | 33.2%(548) | D+32.0 | -12.5 |
| 1996 | 69.6%(1,208) | 25.1%(436) | D+44.5 | +19.1 |
| 1992 | 58.3%(1,225) | 32.9%(691) | D+25.4 | +7.4 |
| 1988 | 58.7%(1,243) | 40.6%(861) | D+18.0 | +20.3 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 60.9%(1,143) | 39.1%(735) | D+21.7 | +6.0 |
| 2020 | 57.0%(1,240) | 41.3%(898) | D+15.7 | -32.1 |
| 2018 | 65.2%(1,094) | 17.4%(292) | D+47.8 | -2.6 |
| 2014 | 75.2%(1,378) | 24.8%(455) | D+50.4 | +15.5 |
| 2012 | 65.7%(1,396) | 30.9%(656) | D+34.8 | -10.8 |
| 2008 | 72.8%(1,596) | 27.2%(596) | D+45.6 | -29.4 |
| 2006 | 87.5%(1,594) | 12.5%(228) | D+75.0 | +94.5 |
| 2002 | 40.3%(762) | 59.8%(1,131) | R+19.5 | -73.6 |
| 2000 | 77.0%(1,259) | 22.9%(375) | D+54.1 | +52.7 |
| 1996 | 50.1%(871) | 48.7%(847) | D+1.4 | -53.6 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0.0%(0) | 0.0%(0) | Even | -20.5 |
| 2018 | 60.3%(1,021) | 39.7%(673) | D+20.5 | +38.5 |
| 2014 | 41.0%(769) | 59.0%(1,105) | R+17.9 | -3.8 |
| 2010 | 43.0%(828) | 57.0%(1,100) | R+14.1 | -82.7 |
| 2006 | 84.3%(1,546) | 15.7%(288) | D+68.6 | +31.3 |
| 2002 | 67.8%(1,283) | 30.6%(578) | D+37.3 | +4.9 |
| 1998 | 66.2%(1,481) | 33.8%(756) | D+32.4 | -7.2 |
| 1994 | 55.9%(1,253) | 16.3%(366) | D+39.6 | -3.7 |
| 1990 | 71.6%(1,576) | 28.4%(624) | D+43.3 | +30.2 |
| 1986 | 56.6%(1,030) | 43.4%(791) | D+13.1 | -39.3 |
Primary Election History
| Year | Party | Winner | Runner-up | Nominee? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | Dem | Joe Biden(68.0%) | Bernie Sanders(19.4%) | ✓ |
| 2016 | Dem | Hillary Clinton(54.6%) | Bernie Sanders(45.4%) | ✓ |
| 2016 | GOP | Donald Trump(60.0%) | Ted Cruz(27.3%) | ✓ |
| 2008 | Dem | Hillary Clinton(67.2%) | Barack Obama(32.8%) | ✗ |
✓ = County picked eventual party nominee