New Hanover County, North Carolina: Professional Migration
North Carolina Β· Presidential Elections 1892β2024
D+0.6
2024 Margin
R+1.5%
2020β2024 Swing
D since 2020
Voting Streak
ποΈ Prof. Migration
Classification
226K
Population
New Hanover County, North Carolina voted D+0.6 for Kamala Harris in 2024, with Harris receiving 68,814 votes (49.6%). This represented a R+1.5% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 2020.
Electoral Behavior
ποΈ
Professional MigrationView all
Growing metro exurbs and suburbs receiving educated professionals from cities. These areas are shifting blue as remote work and urban flight bring liberal voters. Examples: Atlanta suburbs, DFW exurbs, Denver metro.
Volatility
2.6
Elasticity
Responsive
Trend
+0.3/yr
Quick Stats
2024 ResultD+0.6
2020β2024 SwingR+1.5%
Voting StreakD since 2020
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population225,702
Median Age
40.2(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
60.5%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$67,515(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
75.1%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
7.6%(US: 18.6%)
Black
12.1%(US: 12.3%)
Asian
1.3%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
60.7%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
12.4%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
6.9%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 49.6%(68,814) | 49.0%(67,949) | D+0.6 | -1.5 |
| 2020 | 50.2%(66,138) | 48.0%(63,331) | D+2.1 | +6.0 |
| 2016 | 45.6%(50,979) | 49.5%(55,344) | R+3.9 | +0.6 |
| 2012 | 47.0%(48,668) | 51.5%(53,385) | R+4.5 | -3.2 |
| 2008 | 48.8%(49,145) | 50.2%(50,544) | R+1.4 | +10.6 |
| 2004 | 43.8%(35,572) | 55.8%(45,351) | R+12.0 | -1.2 |
| 2000 | 44.2%(29,292) | 55.0%(36,503) | R+10.9 | -1.6 |
| 1996 | 41.7%(22,839) | 50.9%(27,889) | R+9.2 | -1.5 |
| 1992 | 38.9%(20,291) | 46.7%(24,338) | R+7.8 | +13.6 |
| 1988 | 39.2%(15,401) | 60.6%(23,807) | R+21.4 | +9.3 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 49.8%(46,785) | 47.9%(45,012) | D+1.9 | +1.7 |
| 2020 | 47.4%(61,702) | 47.1%(61,415) | D+0.2 | +6.7 |
| 2016 | 44.5%(48,994) | 51.0%(56,153) | R+6.5 | -6.4 |
| 2014 | 47.4%(31,441) | 47.5%(31,519) | R+0.1 | +19.2 |
| 2010 | 39.2%(25,089) | 58.5%(37,472) | R+19.4 | -30.4 |
| 2008 | 53.5%(52,958) | 42.5%(42,006) | D+11.1 | +17.4 |
| 2004 | 45.8%(36,218) | 52.1%(41,231) | R+6.3 | +6.6 |
| 2002 | 42.7%(22,641) | 55.6%(29,478) | R+12.9 | -20.3 |
| 1998 | 52.4%(23,649) | 45.1%(20,330) | D+7.4 | +11.3 |
| 1996 | 47.0%(25,873) | 50.9%(28,024) | R+3.9 | +8.9 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 59.6%(80,834) | 34.3%(46,537) | D+25.3 | +17.5 |
| 2020 | 53.0%(69,554) | 45.2%(59,305) | D+7.8 | +3.0 |
| 2016 | 50.9%(56,370) | 46.2%(51,105) | D+4.8 | +19.9 |
| 2012 | 40.9%(41,633) | 56.0%(57,108) | R+15.2 | -18.3 |
| 2008 | 49.5%(48,737) | 46.3%(45,625) | D+3.2 | -5.4 |
| 2004 | 53.5%(43,421) | 45.0%(36,502) | D+8.5 | -5.0 |
| 2000 | 55.6%(36,971) | 42.1%(27,992) | D+13.5 | +2.7 |
| 1996 | 54.5%(30,199) | 43.7%(24,213) | D+10.8 | +4.9 |
| 1992 | 49.3%(25,394) | 43.4%(22,344) | D+5.9 | +20.6 |
| 1988 | 42.6%(17,021) | 57.4%(22,888) | R+14.7 | +4.6 |