Paulding County, Ohio: Northern Rural Secular
Ohio · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
R+55.9
2024 Margin
R+4.5%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1968
Voting Streak
🌾 N. Rural
Classification
19K
Population
Paulding County, Ohio voted R+55.9 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 7,203 votes (77.22%). This represented a R+4.5% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1968.
Electoral Behavior
🌾
Northern Rural SecularView all
Rural counties in the Upper Midwest (MN/IA/WI/IN/MO/IL/MI) that voted for Obama in 2008 but have swung dramatically toward Republicans. These historically Democratic, secular farming communities have realigned.
Volatility
9.1
Elasticity
Inelastic
Trend
-1.8/yr (red)
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+55.9
2020→2024 SwingR+4.5%
Voting StreakR since 1968
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population18,806
Median Age
41.4(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
20.9%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$65,331(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
90.7%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
5.5%(US: 18.6%)
Homeownership
80.2%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
9.6%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
7.9%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21.3%(1,987) | 77.2%(7,203) | R+55.9 | -4.5 |
| 2020 | 23.4%(2,213) | 74.8%(7,086) | R+51.5 | -3.7 |
| 2016 | 22.7%(2,093) | 70.5%(6,500) | R+47.8 | -28.2 |
| 2012 | 38.2%(3,538) | 57.8%(5,354) | R+19.6 | -7.9 |
| 2008 | 42.6%(4,165) | 54.3%(5,317) | R+11.8 | +14.5 |
| 2004 | 36.5%(3,610) | 62.8%(6,206) | R+26.3 | -5.9 |
| 2000 | 37.8%(3,384) | 58.2%(5,210) | R+20.4 | -16.8 |
| 1996 | 40.1%(3,449) | 43.7%(3,760) | R+3.6 | +0.1 |
| 1992 | 34.6%(3,293) | 38.4%(3,652) | R+3.8 | +22.7 |
| 1988 | 36.3%(3,114) | 62.8%(5,381) | R+26.4 | +5.9 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22.4%(2,056) | 72.7%(6,678) | R+50.3 | +0.6 |
| 2022 | 24.6%(1,587) | 75.4%(4,873) | R+50.9 | -15.7 |
| 2018 | 32.4%(2,232) | 67.6%(4,656) | R+35.2 | +0.5 |
| 2016 | 29.1%(2,576) | 64.8%(5,743) | R+35.7 | -14.8 |
| 2012 | 36.6%(3,277) | 57.5%(5,147) | R+20.9 | +7.8 |
| 2010 | 33.3%(2,236) | 62.0%(4,167) | R+28.7 | -23.2 |
| 2006 | 47.2%(3,556) | 52.8%(3,976) | R+5.6 | +28.6 |
| 2004 | 32.9%(3,134) | 67.1%(6,385) | R+34.1 | -8.6 |
| 2000 | 34.4%(2,973) | 60.0%(5,175) | R+25.5 | -10.0 |
| 1998 | 42.3%(2,691) | 57.7%(3,677) | R+15.5 | +12.0 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 19.9%(1,285) | 79.8%(5,169) | R+60.0 | -20.2 |
| 2018 | 28.5%(1,965) | 68.3%(4,705) | R+39.8 | -0.8 |
| 2014 | 28.9%(1,638) | 67.8%(3,850) | R+39.0 | -25.9 |
| 2010 | 40.6%(2,795) | 53.7%(3,695) | R+13.1 | -19.0 |
| 2006 | 49.7%(3,717) | 43.8%(3,276) | D+5.9 | +38.9 |
| 2002 | 31.4%(1,939) | 64.4%(3,972) | R+33.0 | -16.4 |
| 1998 | 39.1%(2,408) | 55.7%(3,431) | R+16.6 | +22.3 |
| 1994 | 28.4%(1,890) | 67.3%(4,481) | R+38.9 | -22.1 |
| 1990 | 41.6%(2,898) | 58.4%(4,068) | R+16.8 | -13.7 |
| 1986 | 48.4%(2,948) | 51.6%(3,138) | R+3.1 | -5.2 |
Primary Election History
| Year | Party | Winner | Runner-up | Nominee? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | Dem | Joe Biden(75.7%) | Bernie Sanders(11.1%) | ✓ |
| 2016 | Dem | Hillary Clinton(55.7%) | Bernie Sanders(41.8%) | ✓ |
| 2016 | GOP | John Kasich(40.5%) | Donald Trump(32.1%) | ✗ |
| 2008 | Dem | Hillary Clinton(65.9%) | Barack Obama(29.7%) | ✗ |
✓ = County picked eventual party nominee