Deschutes County, Oregon: Professional Migration
Oregon · Presidential Elections 1920–2024
D+10.4
2024 Margin
D+2.2%
2020→2024 Swing
D since 2020
Voting Streak
🏘️ Prof. Migration
Classification
198K
Population
Deschutes County, Oregon voted D+10.4 for Kamala Harris in 2024, with Harris receiving 68,108 votes (53.47%). This represented a D+2.2% swing toward Democrats compared to 2020. The county has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 2020.
Electoral Behavior
🏘️
Professional MigrationView all
Growing metro exurbs and suburbs receiving educated professionals from cities. These areas are shifting blue as remote work and urban flight bring liberal voters. Examples: Atlanta suburbs, DFW exurbs, Denver metro.
Volatility
3.2
Elasticity
Highly elastic
Trend
+0.4/yr
Quick Stats
2024 ResultD+10.4
2020→2024 SwingD+2.2%
Voting StreakD since 2020
Elections on Record27
Demographics
Population198,253
Median Age
42.6(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
59.4%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$82,042(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
84.3%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
8.9%(US: 18.6%)
Asian
1.2%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
70.7%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
9.3%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
7.6%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 53.5%(68,108) | 43.1%(54,850) | D+10.4 | +2.2 |
| 2020 | 52.7%(65,962) | 44.4%(55,646) | D+8.2 | +11.5 |
| 2016 | 43.1%(42,444) | 46.4%(45,692) | R+3.3 | +3.4 |
| 2012 | 45.1%(36,961) | 51.9%(42,463) | R+6.7 | -6.4 |
| 2008 | 48.7%(38,819) | 49.0%(39,064) | R+0.3 | +14.0 |
| 2004 | 42.1%(31,179) | 56.4%(41,757) | R+14.3 | +3.1 |
| 2000 | 38.1%(22,061) | 55.5%(32,132) | R+17.4 | -8.6 |
| 1996 | 37.9%(17,151) | 46.7%(21,135) | R+8.8 | -8.9 |
| 1992 | 35.7%(15,693) | 35.6%(15,655) | D+0.1 | +7.0 |
| 1988 | 45.5%(14,264) | 52.4%(16,425) | R+6.9 | +17.7 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 53.6%(57,865) | 43.5%(46,886) | D+10.2 | +0.4 |
| 2020 | 53.2%(65,264) | 43.4%(53,285) | D+9.8 | -6.9 |
| 2016 | 54.0%(52,098) | 37.4%(36,041) | D+16.6 | +8.5 |
| 2014 | 50.6%(34,680) | 42.5%(29,114) | D+8.1 | +8.1 |
| 2010 | 48.5%(30,809) | 48.6%(30,831) | R+0.0 | +13.2 |
| 2008 | 40.6%(31,024) | 53.8%(41,108) | R+13.2 | -38.9 |
| 2004 | 60.3%(43,301) | 34.6%(24,842) | D+25.7 | +57.3 |
| 2002 | 32.2%(16,020) | 63.8%(31,710) | R+31.6 | -47.7 |
| 1998 | 55.4%(21,750) | 39.3%(15,416) | D+16.1 | +34.0 |
| 1996 | 38.8%(17,406) | 56.6%(25,405) | R+17.8 | +7.1 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 42.5%(46,879) | 45.8%(50,513) | R+3.3 | +6.4 |
| 2018 | 42.3%(40,676) | 52.0%(49,983) | R+9.7 | -3.9 |
| 2016 | 44.1%(42,298) | 49.8%(47,824) | R+5.8 | -2.0 |
| 2014 | 45.6%(31,518) | 49.4%(34,104) | R+3.7 | +17.3 |
| 2010 | 38.1%(24,289) | 59.1%(37,706) | R+21.0 | -7.9 |
| 2006 | 40.9%(23,631) | 54.0%(31,256) | R+13.2 | -5.8 |
| 2002 | 43.6%(21,544) | 51.0%(25,189) | R+7.4 | -26.3 |
| 1998 | 56.6%(22,274) | 37.7%(14,840) | D+18.9 | +20.3 |
| 1994 | 46.5%(17,527) | 48.0%(18,067) | R+1.4 | +8.3 |
| 1990 | 38.3%(11,236) | 48.0%(14,082) | R+9.7 | -0.5 |
Primary Election History
| Year | Party | Winner | Runner-up | Nominee? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | Dem | Joe Biden(74.8%) | Bernie Sanders(15.0%) | ✓ |
| 2016 | Dem | Bernie Sanders(53.1%) | Hillary Clinton(45.0%) | ✗ |
| 2016 | GOP | Donald Trump(68.0%) | John Kasich(17.3%) | ✓ |
| 2008 | Dem | Barack Obama(60.7%) | Hillary Clinton(38.3%) | ✓ |
✓ = County picked eventual party nominee