Chester County, Pennsylvania: Professional Migration
Pennsylvania Β· Presidential Elections 1892β2024
D+14.4
2024 Margin
R+2.7%
2020β2024 Swing
D since 2016
Voting Streak
ποΈ Prof. Migration
Classification
534K
Population
Chester County, Pennsylvania voted D+14.4 for Kamala Harris in 2024, with Harris receiving 184,281 votes (56.45%). This represented a R+2.7% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 2016.
Electoral Behavior
ποΈ
Professional MigrationView all
Growing metro exurbs and suburbs receiving educated professionals from cities. These areas are shifting blue as remote work and urban flight bring liberal voters. Examples: Atlanta suburbs, DFW exurbs, Denver metro.
Volatility
5.2
Elasticity
Highly elastic
Trend
+0.8/yr
Quick Stats
2024 ResultD+14.4
2020β2024 SwingR+2.7%
Voting StreakD since 2016
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population534,413
Median Age
40.7(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
80.3%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$118,574(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
76.3%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
8.2%(US: 18.6%)
Black
5.5%(US: 12.3%)
Asian
6.3%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
75.0%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
5.9%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
5.3%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 56.5%(184,281) | 42.1%(137,299) | D+14.4 | -2.7 |
| 2020 | 58.0%(182,372) | 40.9%(128,565) | D+17.1 | +7.7 |
| 2016 | 51.9%(141,682) | 42.5%(116,114) | D+9.4 | +9.6 |
| 2012 | 49.2%(124,311) | 49.4%(124,840) | R+0.2 | -9.4 |
| 2008 | 54.2%(137,833) | 45.0%(114,421) | D+9.2 | +13.7 |
| 2004 | 47.5%(109,708) | 52.0%(120,036) | R+4.5 | +5.1 |
| 2000 | 43.7%(82,047) | 53.3%(100,080) | R+9.6 | -1.9 |
| 1996 | 40.9%(64,783) | 48.6%(77,029) | R+7.7 | +0.8 |
| 1992 | 35.3%(59,643) | 43.7%(74,002) | R+8.5 | +26.4 |
| 1988 | 32.1%(44,853) | 67.0%(93,522) | R+34.9 | +5.7 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 55.1%(178,833) | 42.6%(138,270) | D+12.5 | -4.4 |
| 2022 | 57.2%(147,559) | 40.3%(104,020) | D+16.9 | -3.3 |
| 2018 | 59.2%(140,138) | 39.0%(92,380) | D+20.2 | +22.4 |
| 2016 | 47.1%(127,552) | 49.4%(133,662) | R+2.3 | -4.8 |
| 2012 | 50.4%(125,671) | 47.8%(119,296) | D+2.5 | +9.4 |
| 2010 | 46.6%(80,738) | 53.4%(92,667) | R+6.9 | -16.9 |
| 2006 | 55.0%(95,293) | 45.0%(77,948) | D+10.0 | +32.6 |
| 2004 | 36.7%(82,551) | 59.3%(133,329) | R+22.6 | +6.5 |
| 2000 | 34.2%(63,259) | 63.3%(117,092) | R+29.1 | +17.2 |
| 1998 | 24.3%(24,611) | 70.5%(71,508) | R+46.3 | -23.9 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 62.3%(160,796) | 35.9%(92,585) | D+26.4 | +2.2 |
| 2018 | 61.3%(145,212) | 37.1%(87,873) | D+24.2 | +20.6 |
| 2014 | 51.8%(80,701) | 48.2%(75,097) | D+3.6 | +15.5 |
| 2010 | 44.0%(76,440) | 56.0%(97,112) | R+11.9 | -42.2 |
| 2006 | 65.2%(112,960) | 34.9%(60,437) | D+30.3 | +14.0 |
| 2002 | 57.4%(81,996) | 41.1%(58,669) | D+16.3 | +62.9 |
| 1998 | 21.0%(21,337) | 67.6%(68,572) | R+46.6 | -23.2 |
| 1994 | 29.7%(34,652) | 53.1%(61,890) | R+23.4 | -28.4 |
| 1990 | 52.5%(48,935) | 47.5%(44,262) | D+5.0 | +39.1 |
| 1986 | 32.5%(28,572) | 66.6%(58,518) | R+34.1 | +3.0 |