Safe Republican — shifted 4.4pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 49.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(14) | 30.8% |
▶Black / African American(9) | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 8.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(5) | 0.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(7) | 1.8% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(5) | 0.5% |
Multiracial / Other | 6.0% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 21.1% | 61.1% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 6.7% | 19.5% |
| Other | 5.5% | 15.8% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 3.6% | 10.3% |
| Mainline Protestant | 0.9% | 2.5% |
| Black Protestant | 0.4% | 1.1% |
| Non-religious | 65.5% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+26.1 |
| 2020 | Trump+21.6 |
| 2016 | Trump+22.9 |
| 2012 | Romney+18.0 |
| 2008 | McCain+14.7 |
| 2004 | Bush+35.5 |
| 2000 | Bush+26.6 |
| 1996 | Dole+14.1 |
| 1992 | Bush+9.2 |
1996: Perot 8.5% · 1992: Perot 21.5%