Safe Republican — shifted 4.3pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(12) | 67.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(7) | 27.1% |
▶Black / African American(4) | 1.3% |
▶Asian(5) | 1.3% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(2) | 0.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 1.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 1.8% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 29.2% | 50.0% |
| Catholic | 20.7% | 35.4% |
| Mainline Protestant | 5.0% | 8.5% |
| Other | 3.5% | 6.1% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.4% | 2.4% |
| Non-religious | 41.6% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+55.7 |
| 2020 | Trump+51.5 |
| 2016 | Trump+50.2 |
| 2012 | Romney+42.8 |
| 2008 | McCain+37.7 |
| 2004 | Bush+42.4 |
| 2000 | Bush+33.4 |
| 1996 | Dole+10.8 |
| 1992 | Bush+8.6 |
1996: Perot 8.8% · 1992: Perot 24.8%
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%