Safe Republican — shifted 5.9pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 60.9% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(12) | 8.6% |
▶Black / African American(6) | 24.8% |
▶Asian(5) | 1.4% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(3) | 0.4% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(5) | 0.5% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3) | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.6% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 48.3% | 68.7% |
| Black Protestant | 8.8% | 12.5% |
| Mainline Protestant | 6.5% | 9.3% |
| Catholic | 4.8% | 6.8% |
| Other | 1.9% | 2.7% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.1% | 1.6% |
| Non-religious | 29.7% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+48.7 |
| 2020 | Trump+42.8 |
| 2016 | Trump+46.5 |
| 2012 | Romney+41.4 |
| 2008 | McCain+37.9 |
| 2004 | Bush+29.4 |
| 2000 | Bush+22.0 |
| 1996 | Clinton+3.1 |
| 1992 | Clinton+0.2 |
1996: Perot 9.4% · 1992: Perot 21.9%
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%