Safe Republican — shifted 9.5pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 38 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(12) | 52.9% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(3) | 27.4% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 15.6% |
▶Asian(1) | 1.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.8% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 32.1% | 49.9% |
| Catholic | 16.8% | 26.1% |
| Black Protestant | 9.3% | 14.5% |
| Mainline Protestant | 6.1% | 9.5% |
| Non-religious | 35.7% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+53.6 |
| 2020 | Trump+44.1 |
| 2016 | Trump+42.7 |
| 2012 | Romney+33.5 |
| 2008 | McCain+23.3 |
| 2004 | Bush+19.4 |
| 2000 | Bush+13.1 |
| 1996 | Clinton+11.6 |
| 1992 | Clinton+18.1 |
1996: Perot 6.9% · 1992: Perot 20.6%
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%