Safe Republican — shifted 6.8pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(12) | 40.6% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(4) | 50.4% |
▶Black / African American(2) | 7.2% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 1.5% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 43.5% | 53.0% |
| Catholic | 31.5% | 38.4% |
| Mainline Protestant | 5.2% | 6.4% |
| Other | 1.8% | 2.2% |
| Non-religious | 17.9% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+39.5 |
| 2020 | Trump+32.7 |
| 2016 | Trump+27.0 |
| 2012 | Romney+24.8 |
| 2008 | McCain+14.5 |
| 2004 | Bush+28.4 |
| 2000 | Bush+18.8 |
| 1996 | Clinton+8.0 |
| 1992 | Clinton+1.7 |
1996: Perot 6.8% · 1992: Perot 19.2%
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%