Safe Republican — shifted 3.8pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 36 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(10) | 54.5% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(4) | 30.2% |
▶Black / African American(4) | 5.9% |
▶Asian(2) | 3.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 6.1% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 68.1% | 78.8% |
| Mainline Protestant | 6.0% | 6.9% |
| Catholic | 5.5% | 6.4% |
| Other | 3.5% | 4.1% |
| Black Protestant | 3.3% | 3.8% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 2.5% | 3.0% |
| Non-religious | 13.5% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+60.6 |
| 2020 | Trump+56.8 |
| 2016 | Trump+57.4 |
| 2012 | Romney+49.9 |
| 2008 | McCain+46.3 |
| 2004 | Bush+48.1 |
| 2000 | Bush+38.9 |
| 1996 | Dole+7.2 |
| 1992 | Bush+0.7 |
1996: Perot 10.9% · 1992: Perot 27.2%
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%