How did AZ-05, Arizona vote in the 2024 presidential election?

AZ-05, Arizona voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+17.1. The Democratic candidate received 195,900 votes and the Republican candidate received 277,530 out of 478,733 total votes cast, a 2.5-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is AZ-05, Arizona's political history?

AZ-05, Arizona has 5 presidential elections on record, spanning 2008 to 2024. It has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2008. The largest single-election swing was 9.2 points in 2016.

What are the demographics of AZ-05, Arizona?

AZ-05, Arizona has a population of 840,221 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 66.0% non-Hispanic white, 18.5% Hispanic, 3.5% Black. About 41% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $109,252.

Arizona's 5th Congressional District

Arizona · Latest: 2024↓ R+1.4 vs 2022

Safe Republican — flipped 3 times in 22 elections

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Race & ancestry

Group	%
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	66.0%
▶Hispanic / Latino(19)	18.5%
▶Black / African American(15)	3.5%
▶Asian(6)	5.9%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11)	1.5%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(5)	1.1%
Multiracial / Other	5.1%

View full demographics →

Key demographics

Metric	Value
Median household income	$109K
Bachelor's or higher	40.8%
English only at home	80.3%
Other language at home	14.1%
Foreign-born	9.9%

View full demographics →

Presidential results

Year	Result
2024	R+17.1
2020	R+14.5
2016	R+20.6
2012	R+29.7
2008	R+26.3

View full election history →

Arizona's 5th Congressional District is a congressional district that has a population of 840,221. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+17.1. Akashic Edge tracks 5 presidential elections here, dating back to 2008.

Arizona's 5th Congressional District Presidential Election Results, 2008–2024
Year	Dem %	Rep %	Margin	Swing
2024	40.9%	58.0%	R+17.1	R+2.5
2020	41.9%	56.4%	R+14.5	D+6.0
2016	35.5%	56.1%	R+20.6	D+9.2
2012	35.1%	64.9%	R+29.7	R+3.4
2008	36.2%	62.5%	R+26.3	—

Political Identity

What defines AZ-05?

It has a racially mixed, moderately educated electorate — the urban swing demographic that decides close elections.

District in State Context

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Precinct Deep Dive

2024 / 2020 precinct vintages

See how each split precinct fragment inside AZ-05 voted, swung, and lines up demographically.

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Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore this district's political evolution with the Historian

“How has Arizona's 5th Congressional District voted in House elections since 2000?”

Automated Readout

Key Insights

High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.

Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

AZ-05Census ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 66.0%Hispanic 18.5%Asian 5.9%Multiracial 5.1%Black 3.5%Native American 1.1%

Group	AZ-05	State	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	66.0%	52.6%	57.4%
▶Hispanic / Latino(19)	18.5%	31.4%	19.3%
▶Asian(6)	5.9%	3.6%	6.0%
Multiracial / Other	5.1%	3.7%	4.0%
▶Black / African American(15)	3.5%	4.6%	12.2%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11)	1.5%	—	0.9%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(5)	1.1%	4.0%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

AZ-05 vs Arizona vs National840K residents

41% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 8pp above the national average. Places with similar education levels vote D+16 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

840K

local

840KState 7.4MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.25%

local

0.25%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

74.6%

local

74.6%State 76.2%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$109,252

local

$109,252State $80,891National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

6.3%

local

6.3%State 12.5%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

40.8%

local

40.8%State 33.4%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

78.8%

local

78.8%State 67.4%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

38.9 yrs

local

38.9 yrsState 39.3 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

13.3%

local

13.3%State 16.3%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

16.4%

local

16.4%State 18.9%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

9.9%

local

9.9%State 13.0%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

14.9%

local

14.9%State 25.7%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

85.1%

local

85.1%State 74.3%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in AZ-05

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.

2024 Turnout

76.4%

vs Previous

+2.1pp

Voting-Age Pop

626,620

History

2008–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is AZ-05?

Safe RAvg margin: R+17.4 (last 3 elections)

2008

R+26.3

2012

R+29.7

2016

R+20.6

2020

R+14.5

2024

R+17.1

Elasticity

15.2pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

R+21.6

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in AZ-05 split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (44/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs House	R+17.0	R+20.8	3.7pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 11.0pp

Arizona Comparison Set

Other Arizona Districts

Compare the rest of the delegation at a glance, with each card anchored to the latest House margin on current district pages.

16 sibling districts

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