Safe Democratic — flipped 1 time in 25 elections
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 37.5% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(20) | 34.8% |
▶Black / African American(16) | 11.5% |
▶Asian(6) | 12.3% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 2.5% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 0.8% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.1% |
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Median household income | $89K |
| Bachelor's or higher | 44.6% |
| English only at home | 43.8% |
| Other language at home | 49.7% |
| Foreign-born | 33.1% |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | D+49.4 |
| 2020 | D+64.4 |
| 2016 | D+76.1 |
| 2012 | D+78.7 |
| 2008 | D+69.4 |
New York's 7th Congressional District is a congressional district that has a population of 753,548. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+49.4. Akashic Edge tracks 5 presidential elections here, dating back to 2008.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 73.4% | 24.0% | D+49.4 | R+15.0 |
| 2020 | 81.6% | 17.2% | D+64.4 | R+11.7 |
| 2016 | 86.4% | 10.3% | D+76.1 | R+2.6 |
| 2012 | 89.3% | 10.7% | D+78.7 | D+9.3 |
| 2008 | 84.3% | 14.9% | D+69.4 | — |
NY-07 has been trending Republican — 29pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a majority-minority electorate where racial demographics are the primary driver of partisan lean.
2024 / 2020 precinct vintages
See how each split precinct fragment inside NY-07 voted, swung, and lines up demographically.
Unlock with Pro$33/mo| Group | NY-07 | State | National |
|---|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 37.5% | 52.8% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(20) | 34.8% | 19.8% | 19.3% |
▶Asian(6) | 12.3% | 9.1% | 6.0% |
▶Black / African American(16) | 11.5% | 14.4% | 12.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 2.5% | — | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% |
45% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 12pp above the national average. Places with similar education levels vote D+16 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs House | D+49.4 | D+52.4 | 3.0pp |