explore / Contest Page
Read the current governor state first, then inspect ratings, polling, markets, fundraising, and history for New York in one evidence flow.
Evidence & provenance
Source owners
Akashic Edge race ratings, polling ingests, Polymarket odds, fundraising files, and U.S. Census context.
Freshness
Rendered Mar 17, 2026 from the latest stored polling, market, and race-rating snapshots.
Boundary scope
2026 statewide race page for the current state and office only.
Claim type
Manual race ratings, stored live-market snapshots, polling context, and deterministic demographic history.
Polling and market panels fail closed. If a feed is missing or stale, this page states that directly instead of implying current coverage.
Hochul leads Blakeman 54-28 in the latest Siena poll — a 26-point margin that hasn’t budged since December. Her favorability just hit a 4-year high at 49%, and three-fifths of voters have literally never heard of Blakeman despite his Trump endorsement. Trump’s favorability in New York is 33-63 underwater, which makes that endorsement more anchor than asset. Hochul won by only 6 in 2022, but the 2022 race featured an unpopular congestion pricing decision and a historically weak environment. Neither factor applies here. This is safe.
Updated 2026-03-03
Will Antonio Delgado win the 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary?
Data from Polymarket prediction markets