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      Data: MIT Election Lab, VEST, Census Bureau
      Home/Elections/2026/US Senate/Minnesota
      2026 ForecastSafe D
      2026·US Senate·Minnesota

      Minnesota US Senate

      Open Seat

      Tina Smith (D) retiring

      Senate Class 2

      Race Analysis

      Analysis coming soon.

      Updated 2026-02-18

      Candidates & Primaries

      Democratic Candidates

      TBDDDeclared

      Smith retiring; Dem primary ongoing

      Democratic PrimaryPolymarket

      Will David Wellstone be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?

      Data from Polymarket prediction markets

      Republican Candidates

      TBDRDeclared

      GOP challenger expected

      Republican PrimaryPolymarket

      Will Jim Nash be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota?

      Data from Polymarket prediction markets

      State Demographics

      Minnesota vs. National · Pop. 5.7M

      White (non-Hispanic)75.9%
      National: 57.4%
      Black7.0%
      National: 12.2%
      Hispanic/Latino6.4%
      National: 19.3%
      Asian5.1%
      National: 6.0%
      College Degree39.4%
      National: 35.6%
      Median Income$90,564
      National: $83,960
      Median Age39
      National: 39.1

      Seat History

      US Senate in Minnesota(Class II)

      2024
      Amy KlobucharDEM
      D+15.7
      2020
      Tina SmithDEM
      D+5.2
      2018(S)
      Tina SmithDEM
      D+10.6
      2018
      Amy KlobucharDEM
      D+24.1
      2014
      Al FrankenDEM
      D+10.2
      2012
      Amy KlobucharDEM
      D+34.7
      2008
      Al FrankenDEM
      EVEN
      2006
      Amy KlobucharDEM
      D+20.1
      2002
      Norm ColemanREP
      R+2.2
      2000
      Mark DaytonDEM
      D+5.5
      1996
      Paul WellstoneDEM
      D+9.0
      1994
      Rod GramsREP
      R+5.0
      1990
      Paul WellstoneDEM
      D+2.6
      1988
      Dave DurenbergerREP
      R+14.9
      1984
      Rudy BoschwitzREP
      R+16.8
      View all US Senate history for Minnesota →

      Also in Minnesota, 2026

      Governor
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