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      Data: MIT Election Lab, VEST, Census Bureau
      Home/Elections/2026/US Senate/Virginia
      2026 ForecastSafe D
      2026·US Senate·Virginia

      Virginia US Senate

      Incumbent
      DMark Warner
      Senate Class 2

      Race Analysis

      Analysis coming soon.

      Updated 2026-02-18

      Candidates & Primaries

      Democratic Candidates

      Mark WarnerDIncumbent

      Senior senator from Virginia since 2009

      B4W-1L5 races
      Full profile →
      Democratic PrimaryPolymarket

      Will Mark Warner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Virginia?

      Data from Polymarket prediction markets

      Republican Candidates

      TBDRRumored

      No major GOP challenger expected

      Republican PrimaryPolymarket

      Will Winsome Earle-Sears be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?

      Data from Polymarket prediction markets

      State Demographics

      Virginia vs. National · Pop. 8.7M

      White (non-Hispanic)58.4%
      National: 57.4%
      Black18.6%
      National: 12.2%
      Hispanic/Latino11.0%
      National: 19.3%
      Asian6.9%
      National: 6.0%
      College Degree42.3%
      National: 35.6%
      Median Income$99,933
      National: $83,960
      Median Age39.3
      National: 39.1

      Seat History

      US Senate in Virginia(Class II)

      2024
      Tim KaineDEM
      D+7.5
      2020
      Mark WarnerDEM
      D+12.1
      2018
      Tim KaineDEM
      D+16.0
      2014
      Mark WarnerDEM
      D+0.8
      2012
      Tim KaineDEM
      D+5.9
      2008
      Mark WarnerDEM
      D+31.3
      2006
      James C WebbDEM
      D+0.4
      2002
      John M WarnerREP
      R+82.6
      2000
      George AllenREP
      R+4.6
      1996
      John M WarnerREP
      R+5.1
      1994
      Chuck RobbDEM
      D+2.7
      1990
      John M WarnerREP
      R+80.9
      1988
      Chuck RobbDEM
      D+42.6
      1984
      John M WarnerREP
      R+40.1
      1982
      Paul S Trible Jr.REP
      R+2.4
      View all US Senate history for Virginia →

      Also in Virginia, 2026

      No other statewide races in 2026
      ← 2026 Forecast Overview
      ← 2026 Forecast OverviewVirginia profileAll elections