Arkansas-Louisiana border market anchored by two mid-size industrial cities
Straddling the state line along the Ouachita River corridor, this media market blends Arkansas's oil-patch economy around El Dorado with Monroe's Louisiana agricultural and manufacturing base, producing a reliably conservative electorate with limited urban-rural variation.
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ouachita | 158K | R+27.9 | 22,845 | 40,808 | 64,436 | 8.4% |
| Ouachita | 156K | R+27.9 | 22,845 | 40,808 | 64,436 | 8.4% |
| Ouachita | 150K | R+27.9 | 22,845 | 40,808 | 64,436 | 8.4% |
| Ouachita | 147K | R+27.9 | 22,845 | 40,808 | 64,436 | 8.4% |
| Lincoln | 48K | R+25.4 | 6,627 | 11,248 | 18,157 | 2.4% |
| Lincoln | 47K | R+25.4 | 6,627 | 11,248 | 18,157 | 2.4% |
| Union | 46K | R+33.5 | 5,019 | 10,196 | 15,448 | 2.0% |
| Union | 43K | R+33.5 | 5,019 | 10,196 | 15,448 | 2.0% |
| Lincoln | 43K | R+25.4 | 6,627 | 11,248 | 18,157 | 2.4% |
| Lincoln | 43K | R+25.4 | 6,627 | 11,248 | 18,157 | 2.4% |
| Union | 40K | R+33.5 | 5,019 | 10,196 | 15,448 | 2.0% |
| Union | 38K | R+33.5 | 5,019 | 10,196 | 15,448 | 2.0% |
| Morehouse | 31K | R+19.3 | 4,008 | 5,961 | 10,097 | 1.3% |
| Morehouse | 29K | R+19.3 | 4,008 | 5,961 | 10,097 | 1.3% |
| Morehouse | 27K | R+19.3 | 4,008 | 5,961 | 10,097 | 1.3% |
| Morehouse | 25K | R+19.3 | 4,008 | 5,961 | 10,097 | 1.3% |
| Ashley | 24K | R+48.0 | 1,774 | 5,145 | 7,030 | 0.9% |
| Union | 23K | R+57.0 | 2,206 | 8,176 | 10,475 | 1.4% |
| Union | 23K | R+57.0 | 2,206 | 8,176 | 10,475 | 1.4% |
| Union | 22K | R+57.0 | 2,206 | 8,176 | 10,475 | 1.4% |
| Ashley | 22K | R+48.0 | 1,774 | 5,145 | 7,030 | 0.9% |
| Franklin | 21K | R+49.2 | 2,196 | 6,524 | 8,798 | 1.1% |
| Ashley | 21K | R+48.0 | 1,774 | 5,145 | 7,030 | 0.9% |
| Richland | 21K | R+39.4 | 2,732 | 6,354 | 9,193 | 1.2% |
| Union | 21K | R+57.0 | 2,206 | 8,176 | 10,475 | 1.4% |
| Richland | 21K | R+39.4 | 2,732 | 6,354 | 9,193 | 1.2% |
| Franklin | 20K | R+49.2 | 2,196 | 6,524 | 8,798 | 1.1% |
| Richland | 20K | R+39.4 | 2,732 | 6,354 | 9,193 | 1.2% |
| Concordia | 20K | R+29.4 | 2,698 | 4,974 | 7,755 | 1.0% |
| Concordia | 20K | R+29.4 | 2,698 | 4,974 | 7,755 | 1.0% |
| Franklin | 20K | R+49.2 | 2,196 | 6,524 | 8,798 | 1.1% |
| Richland | 20K | R+39.4 | 2,732 | 6,354 | 9,193 | 1.2% |
| Franklin | 19K | R+49.2 | 2,196 | 6,524 | 8,798 | 1.1% |
| Concordia | 19K | R+29.4 | 2,698 | 4,974 | 7,755 | 1.0% |
| Ashley | 18K | R+48.0 | 1,774 | 5,145 | 7,030 | 0.9% |
| Concordia | 18K | R+29.4 | 2,698 | 4,974 | 7,755 | 1.0% |
| Winn | 17K | R+54.4 | 1,292 | 4,437 | 5,781 | 0.7% |
| Jackson | 16K | R+47.6 | 1,852 | 5,291 | 7,226 | 0.9% |
| Winn | 16K | R+54.4 | 1,292 | 4,437 | 5,781 | 0.7% |
| Jackson | 15K | R+47.6 | 1,852 | 5,291 | 7,226 | 0.9% |
| Jackson | 15K | R+47.6 | 1,852 | 5,291 | 7,226 | 0.9% |
| La Salle | 15K | R+82.7 | 546 | 6,023 | 6,620 | 0.9% |
| Jackson | 15K | R+47.6 | 1,852 | 5,291 | 7,226 | 0.9% |
| La Salle | 15K | R+82.7 | 546 | 6,023 | 6,620 | 0.9% |
| Winn | 15K | R+54.4 | 1,292 | 4,437 | 5,781 | 0.7% |
| La Salle | 14K | R+82.7 | 546 | 6,023 | 6,620 | 0.9% |
| La Salle | 14K | R+82.7 | 546 | 6,023 | 6,620 | 0.9% |
| Madison | 14K | D+6.2 | 2,094 | 1,846 | 3,992 | 0.5% |
| Winn | 13K | R+54.4 | 1,292 | 4,437 | 5,781 | 0.7% |
| West Carroll | 12K | R+74.0 | 578 | 3,986 | 4,603 | 0.6% |
| Madison | 12K | D+6.2 | 2,094 | 1,846 | 3,992 | 0.5% |
| Madison | 12K | D+6.2 | 2,094 | 1,846 | 3,992 | 0.5% |
| West Carroll | 12K | R+74.0 | 578 | 3,986 | 4,603 | 0.6% |
| West Carroll | 11K | R+74.0 | 578 | 3,986 | 4,603 | 0.6% |
| Catahoula | 11K | R+50.5 | 1,060 | 3,258 | 4,348 | 0.6% |
| Caldwell | 11K | R+72.5 | 580 | 3,724 | 4,334 | 0.6% |
| Catahoula | 10K | R+50.5 | 1,060 | 3,258 | 4,348 | 0.6% |
| Caldwell | 10K | R+72.5 | 580 | 3,724 | 4,334 | 0.6% |
| Catahoula | 10K | R+50.5 | 1,060 | 3,258 | 4,348 | 0.6% |
| Caldwell | 10K | R+72.5 | 580 | 3,724 | 4,334 | 0.6% |
| Madison | 10K | D+6.2 | 2,094 | 1,846 | 3,992 | 0.5% |
| Caldwell | 10K | R+72.5 | 580 | 3,724 | 4,334 | 0.6% |
| West Carroll | 9K | R+74.0 | 578 | 3,986 | 4,603 | 0.6% |
| East Carroll | 9K | D+17.6 | 1,338 | 931 | 2,306 | 0.3% |
| Catahoula | 9K | R+50.5 | 1,060 | 3,258 | 4,348 | 0.6% |
| East Carroll | 8K | D+17.6 | 1,338 | 931 | 2,306 | 0.3% |
| East Carroll | 7K | D+17.6 | 1,338 | 931 | 2,306 | 0.3% |
| East Carroll | 7K | D+17.6 | 1,338 | 931 | 2,306 | 0.3% |
| Tensas | 7K | R+4.3 | 1,002 | 1,093 | 2,128 | 0.3% |
| Tensas | 6K | R+4.3 | 1,002 | 1,093 | 2,128 | 0.3% |
| Tensas | 5K | R+4.3 | 1,002 | 1,093 | 2,128 | 0.3% |
| Tensas | 4K | R+4.3 | 1,002 | 1,093 | 2,128 | 0.3% |
| Group | Monroe-El Dorado | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 60.9% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(8) | 34.9% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(14) | 2.3% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 1.1% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.6% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(8) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.2% | 0.9% |
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -73.0pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.0% | 73.2% | — | — | |
| 7.9% | 12.1% | — | — | |
| 4.8% | 7.3% | — | — | |
| 3.1% | 4.7% | — | — | |
| 1.7% | 2.5% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.9% | 1.3% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 34.5% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Monroe-El Dorado media market? 1,891,999 residents across 72 counties.
19% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 14pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate vs Governor | R+54.9 | R+39.4 | 15.5pp |