How did Centralia, WA vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Centralia, WA voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+32.8. Kamala D Harris received 14,433 votes and Donald Trump received 29,322 out of 45,338 total votes cast, a 0.0-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Centralia, WA's political history?

Centralia, WA has 34 presidential elections on record, spanning 1892 to 2024. It has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1968. The largest single-election swing was 68.0 points in 1932.

What are the demographics of Centralia, WA?

Centralia, WA has a population of 302,937 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 85.5% non-Hispanic white, 8.7% Hispanic. About 17% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $51,051.

Which places are most similar to Centralia, WA?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to Centralia, WA are Gettysburg, PA, Chambersburg, PA, Hutchinson, MN. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Live · Metropolitan area

Centralia, WA

Presidential margin · 2024

Data unavailable for this race.

Race data unavailable

Geography

Race data unavailable

No current race for this office.

2024FIPS 16500

Population303K

Median ageU.S. 38.9y

41.2y▲ 2.3

Bachelor's+U.S. 35%

16.6%▼ 18.4

White85.5%
Hispanic8.7%
Two or more5.2%
Other2.4%
Native1.1%
Asian0.9%
Black0.6%

Trajectory · 2008–2024

Centralia, WABaseline

Cycle2024

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Constituent Counties

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Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Reads like Gettysburg, PA, Chambersburg, PA, and Hutchinson, MN.

8 visible matches

Gettysburg, PA

Small-town rural republican 2

R+33.6

Similarity score94%

Chambersburg, PA

Small-town rural republican 3

R+43.0

Similarity score93%

Hutchinson, MN

Small-town rural republican 2

R+37.8

Similarity score93%

Warren, PA

Small-town rural republican

R+39.3

Similarity score93%

Manitowoc, WI

Small-town rural republican

R+23.3

Similarity score92%

Roseburg, OR

Small-town rural republican

R+37.5

Similarity score92%

Batavia, NY

Small-town rural republican 2

R+33.9

Similarity score92%

Pottsville, PA

Small-town rural republican 3

R+42.1

Similarity score91%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Centralia, WA

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Lewis	85K	R+32.8	14,433	29,322	45,338	25.0%
Lewis	76K	R+32.8	14,433	29,322	45,338	25.0%
Lewis	73K	R+32.8	14,433	29,322	45,338	25.0%
Lewis	69K	R+32.8	14,433	29,322	45,338	25.0%

4 countiesTotal votes: 181,352

Historian Query

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“How has the Centralia, WA metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Centralia, WACensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 85.5%Hispanic 8.7%Multiracial 3.1%Native American 1.1%Asian 0.9%Black 0.6%

Group	Centralia, WA	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	85.5%	57.4%
▶Hispanic / Latino(11)	8.7%	19.3%
Multiracial / Other	3.1%	4.0%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4)	1.1%	0.9%
▶Asian(6)	0.9%	6.0%
▶Black / African American(7)	0.6%	12.2%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(7)	0.3%	0.9%
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3)	0.1%	0.2%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

35.4%(30.1K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: -39.0pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.

Ecological pattern — how to read this

Reflects patterns in counties where this religious tradition concentrates — not a claim about individual voters.

Values are derived by joining Religion Census 2020 (U.S. Religion Data Archive) with certified election results at the county level. That means we know what counties with more or fewer of this group did — not how any individual voted.

This is known as ecological inference. It is a valid way to surface geographic correlation but must not be read as a personal-vote claim about anyone in the group.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	20.1%	56.8%	—	—
Catholic	7.9%	22.3%	—	—
Other	4.6%	13.1%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	3.1%	8.7%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	2.6%	7.2%	—	—
Black Protestant	0.2%	0.5%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	64.6%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Evangelical Protestant adherence nationally

Who lives in the Centralia, WA metro area? 302,937 residents across 4 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

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Centralia, WA vs National303K residents

17% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 16pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+22 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

303K

local

303KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.09%

local

0.09%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

41.0%

local

41.0%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$51,051

local

$51,051National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

13.9%

local

13.9%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

16.6%

local

16.6%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

72.3%

local

72.3%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

41.2 yrs

local

41.2 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

10.5%

local

10.5%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

14.9%

local

14.9%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

4.7%

local

4.7%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

8.1%

local

8.1%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

91.9%

local

91.9%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Centralia, WA

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

70.4%

vs Previous

0.0pp

Eligible Non-Voters

19K · 29.6%

Citizen VAP

64,394

History

1988–2024

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Centralia, WA split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyModerate splitting (54/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
Senate vs Governor	R+27.5	R+38.6	11.1pp
President vs Governor	R+32.8	R+38.6	5.7pp
President vs Senate	R+32.8	R+27.5	5.3pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 9.4pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Centralia, WA sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Washington(State)

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