A mid-sized Steel Belt metro where union tradition meets shifting rural margins.
Warren County anchors a small metro that has trended toward Republican presidential margins since 2008, reflecting a broader realignment among working-class white voters across Pennsylvania's northwest corridor.
| Group | Warren, PA | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 97.0% | 57.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 1.2% | 4.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(7) | 0.8% | 19.3% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 0.5% | 12.2% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.4% | 6.0% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.1% | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(2) | 0.1% | 0.9% |
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -12.1pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16.7% | 43.4% | — | — | |
| 11.1% | 29.0% | — | — | |
| 8.2% | 21.4% | — | — | |
| 1.8% | 4.8% | — | — | |
| 0.5% | 1.4% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 61.6% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Warren, PA metro area? 163,457 residents across 4 counties.
17% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 16pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+22 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+39.2 | R+35.0 | 4.2pp |