Pocono swing terrain where exurban growth reshuffles old baselines
East Stroudsburg anchors Monroe County, a longtime bellwether that shifted sharply toward Republicans in 2016 after decades of competitive results, driven largely by an influx of price-sensitive migrants from the New York metro area.
| Group | East Stroudsburg, PA | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 71.3% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(20) | 13.0% | 19.3% |
▶Black / African American(15) | 11.5% | 12.2% |
▶Asian(6) | 2.0% | 6.0% |
Multiracial / Other | 1.9% | 4.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(8) | 0.5% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.2% | 0.9% |
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +13.4pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15.4% | 41.8% | — | — | |
| 8.8% | 24.0% | — | — | |
| 6.7% | 18.2% | — | — | |
| 5.3% | 14.4% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.8% | 2.3% | — | — |
| 0.3% | 0.9% | — | — | |
| 0.3% | 0.7% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 63.2% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the East Stroudsburg, PA metro area? 637,253 residents across 4 counties.
24% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 9pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+9 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+0.8 | D+1.0 | 1.8pp |