Cape Cod's seasonal swings make year-round turnout patterns unusually hard to model
Barnstable Town anchors Cape Cod's retirement-heavy, tourism-driven economy, producing an older, white electorate that has shifted measurably toward competitive margins in federal races after decades of reliable Republican lean.
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barnstable | 232K | D+20.6 | 88,129 | 57,451 | 148,785 | 25.0% |
| Barnstable | 223K | D+20.6 | 88,129 | 57,451 | 148,785 | 25.0% |
| Barnstable | 222K | D+20.6 | 88,129 | 57,451 | 148,785 | 25.0% |
| Barnstable | 215K | D+20.6 | 88,129 | 57,451 | 148,785 | 25.0% |
| Group | Barnstable Town, MA | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 90.5% | 57.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.3% | 4.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(18) | 2.4% | 19.3% |
▶Black / African American(11) | 2.3% | 12.2% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.1% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(8) | 0.8% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4) | 0.5% | 0.9% |
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +54.6pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23.7% | 66.3% | — | — | |
| 6.2% | 17.4% | — | — | |
| 2.9% | 8.1% | — | — | |
| 2.6% | 7.2% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.4% | 1.2% | — | — |
| 0.2% | 0.5% | — | — | |
| 0.2% | 0.5% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 64.3% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Barnstable Town, MA metro area? 891,230 residents across 4 counties.
41% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 8pp above the national average. Places with similar education levels vote D+16 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | D+20.6 | D+10.6 | 10.0pp |