A post-industrial anchor where margins swing harder than statewide trends
The Elmira metro, centered on Chemung County, has drifted Republican in presidential cycles even as New York tilts blue—reflecting a deindustrialized workforce and rural collar communities that consistently outperform statewide GOP baselines.
| Group | Elmira, NY | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 87.6% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(8) | 6.0% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(13) | 2.6% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.3% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.2% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(5) | 0.8% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +19.8pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.3% | 46.6% | — | — | |
| 9.7% | 22.3% | — | — | |
| 7.3% | 16.8% | — | — | |
| 4.5% | 10.2% | — | — | |
| 1.6% | 3.7% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.7% | 1.6% | — | — |
| 0.2% | 0.4% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 56.4% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Elmira, NY metro area? 349,120 residents across 4 counties.
23% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 10pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+9 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+16.7 | R+12.7 | 4.0pp |