How did Fayetteville, NC vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Fayetteville, NC voted Democratic in 2024 with a margin of D+12.3. Kamala D Harris received 90,527 votes and Donald Trump received 70,387 out of 163,280 total votes cast, a 3.5-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Fayetteville, NC's political history?

Fayetteville, NC has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. It has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 2008. The largest single-election swing was 68.2 points in 1976.

What are the demographics of Fayetteville, NC?

Fayetteville, NC has a population of 1,458,409 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 46.1% non-Hispanic white, 9.6% Hispanic, 35.9% Black. About 22% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $47,202.

Which places are most similar to Fayetteville, NC?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to Fayetteville, NC are Hinesville, GA, Greenville, NC, Salisbury, MD. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Live · Metropolitan area

Fayetteville, NC

Fort Liberty anchors one of the most transient electorates in the Carolinas

The Fayetteville metro's political character is shaped by a large active-duty and veteran military population that turns over constantly, keeping registration patterns fluid and making traditional demographic modeling unusually unreliable here.

Presidential margin · 2024

Data unavailable for this race.

Race data unavailable

Geography

Race data unavailable

No current race for this office.

2024FIPS 22180

Population1.5M

Median ageU.S. 38.9y

30.9y▼ 8.0

Bachelor's+U.S. 35%

22.5%▼ 12.5

White46.1%
Black35.9%
Hispanic9.6%
Two or more6.4%
Other3.5%
Native2.2%
Asian2.1%

Trajectory · 2008–2024

Fayetteville, NCBaseline

Cycle2024

Open in Cartographer

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Reads like Hinesville, GA, Greenville, NC, and Salisbury, MD.

8 visible matches

Educated rural competitive

D+6.0

Similarity score93%

Salisbury, MD

Educated rural competitive

R+7.5

Similarity score90%

Tallahassee, FL

Educated rural competitive

Educated rural competitive 2

Constituent Geography

Counties in Fayetteville, NC

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Cumberland	339K	D+13.4	78,631	59,840	140,513	21.5%
Cumberland	326K	D+13.4	78,631	59,840	140,513	21.5%
Cumberland	309K	D+13.4	78,631	59,840	140,513	21.5%
Cumberland	303K	D+13.4	78,631	59,840	140,513	21.5%
Hoke	54K	D+5.9	11,896	10,547	22,767	3.5%
Hoke	52K	D+5.9	11,896	10,547	22,767	3.5%
Hoke	42K	D+5.9	11,896	10,547	22,767	3.5%
Hoke	34K	D+5.9	11,896	10,547	22,767	3.5%

8 countiesTotal votes: 653,120

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Fayetteville, NC's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Fayetteville, NC metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Fayetteville, NCCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 46.1%Black 35.9%Hispanic 9.6%Multiracial 3.9%Native American 2.2%Asian 2.1%

Group	Fayetteville, NC	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	46.1%	57.4%
▶Black / African American(16)	35.9%	12.2%
▶Hispanic / Latino(20)	9.6%	19.3%
Multiracial / Other	3.9%	4.0%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(6)	2.2%	0.9%
▶Asian(6)	2.1%	6.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(8)	0.4%	0.9%
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(5)	0.1%	0.2%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

56.6%(222.1K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: -55.3pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.

Ecological pattern — how to read this

Reflects patterns in counties where this religious tradition concentrates — not a claim about individual voters.

Values are derived by joining Religion Census 2020 (U.S. Religion Data Archive) with certified election results at the county level. That means we know what counties with more or fewer of this group did — not how any individual voted.

This is known as ecological inference. It is a valid way to surface geographic correlation but must not be read as a personal-vote claim about anyone in the group.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	34.5%	60.9%	—	—
Black Protestant	7.0%	12.4%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	6.0%	10.6%	—	—
Catholic	5.7%	10.0%	—	—
Other	3.2%	5.7%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	1.4%	2.4%	—	—
Orthodox Christian	0.2%	0.4%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	43.4%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Evangelical Protestant adherence nationally

Who lives in the Fayetteville, NC metro area? 1,458,409 residents across 8 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Export CSVPro

Fayetteville, NC vs National1.5M residents

22% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 11pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+9 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

1.5M

local

1.5MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.44%

local

0.44%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

37.2%

local

37.2%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$47,202

local

$47,202National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

16.5%

local

16.5%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

22.5%

local

22.5%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

57.6%

local

57.6%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

30.9 yrs

local

30.9 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

16.5%

local

16.5%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

8.3%

local

8.3%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

5.7%

local

5.7%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

10.9%

local

10.9%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

89.1%

local

89.1%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Fayetteville, NC

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

57.8%

vs Previous

-2.0pp

Eligible Non-Voters

119K · 42.2%

Citizen VAP

282,370

History

1988–2024

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Fayetteville, NC split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyModerate splitting (60/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Governor	D+12.3	D+25.6	13.3pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 8.5pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Fayetteville, NC sits inside these higher-level geographies.

North Carolina(State)

Upgrade Path

Unlock Metro Area Analytics

Advance from the public dossier into precinct-level, insight-rich district intelligence.

Target plan Pro$33/mo

Precinct data, Smart Insights, full history, and export controls tailored to place pages.

Precinct-Level Data

See results for every neighborhood and voting precinct

Smart Insights

Automated highlights from recent election patterns

Full Historical Access

165 years of election data at every level of geography

CSV Exports

Download any table or chart as a CSV file

Upgrade to Pro$33/mo