How did Tallahassee, FL vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Tallahassee, FL voted Democratic in 2024 with a margin of D+14.7. Kamala D Harris received 117,593 votes and Donald Trump received 87,149 out of 207,028 total votes cast, a 7.1-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Tallahassee, FL's political history?

Tallahassee, FL has 39 presidential elections on record, spanning 1872 to 2024. It has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 1992. The largest single-election swing was 63.5 points in 1888.

What are the demographics of Tallahassee, FL?

Tallahassee, FL has a population of 1,440,284 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 57.2% non-Hispanic white, 5.9% Hispanic, 32.3% Black. About 38% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $48,869.

Which places are most similar to Tallahassee, FL?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to Tallahassee, FL are Gainesville, FL, Athens-Clarke County, GA, Iowa City, IA. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Live · Metropolitan area

Tallahassee, FL

A state-capital metro where university enrollment shapes the electorate

Home to Florida State, FAMU, and the state legislature, Tallahassee's Leon County votes markedly more Democratic than surrounding rural counties, making it a consistent blue enclave in Florida's otherwise competitive northern tier.

Presidential margin · 2024

Data unavailable for this race.

Race data unavailable

Geography

Race data unavailable

No current race for this office.

2024FIPS 45220

Population1.4M

Median ageU.S. 38.9y

32.5y▼ 6.4

Bachelor's+U.S. 35%

37.6%▲ 2.6

White57.2%
Black32.3%
Hispanic5.9%
Two or more3.4%
Asian2.3%
Other1.5%

Trajectory · 2008–2024

Tallahassee, FLBaseline

Cycle2024

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Constituent Counties

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Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Reads like Gainesville, FL, Athens-Clarke County, GA, and Iowa City, IA.

8 visible matches

Gainesville, FL

Educated rural competitive

D+5.3

Similarity score96%

Athens-Clarke County, GA

Educated rural competitive

R+2.4

Similarity score95%

Iowa City, IA

Educated rural competitive

D+30.5

Similarity score92%

Greenville, NC

Educated rural competitive

Educated rural competitive

D+2.4

Similarity score90%

Toledo, OH

Educated rural competitive 2

D+2.7

Similarity score90%

Lansing-East Lansing, MI

Educated rural competitive 2

D+14.3

Similarity score90%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Tallahassee, FL

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Leon	298K	D+21.8	94,520	60,397	156,802	18.9%
Leon	285K	D+21.8	94,520	60,397	156,802	18.9%
Leon	261K	D+21.8	94,520	60,397	156,802	18.9%
Leon	239K	D+21.8	94,520	60,397	156,802	18.9%
Gadsden	47K	D+30.7	14,203	7,495	21,868	2.6%
Gadsden	46K	D+30.7	14,203	7,495	21,868	2.6%
Gadsden	45K	D+30.7	14,203	7,495	21,868	2.6%
Gadsden	44K	D+30.7	14,203	7,495	21,868	2.6%
Wakulla	35K	R+44.3	5,441	14,246	19,856	2.4%
Wakulla	31K	R+44.3	5,441	14,246	19,856	2.4%
Wakulla	30K	R+44.3	5,441	14,246	19,856	2.4%
Wakulla	23K	R+44.3	5,441	14,246	19,856	2.4%
Jefferson	15K	R+18.6	3,429	5,011	8,502	1.0%
Jefferson	14K	R+18.6	3,429	5,011	8,502	1.0%
Jefferson	14K	R+18.6	3,429	5,011	8,502	1.0%
Jefferson	13K	R+18.6	3,429	5,011	8,502	1.0%

16 countiesTotal votes: 828,112

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Tallahassee, FL's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Tallahassee, FL metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Tallahassee, FLCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 57.2%Black 32.3%Hispanic 5.9%Asian 2.3%Multiracial 2.0%Native American 0.3%

Group	Tallahassee, FL	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	57.2%	57.4%
▶Black / African American(12)	32.3%	12.2%
▶Hispanic / Latino(19)	5.9%	19.3%
▶Asian(6)	2.3%	6.0%
Multiracial / Other	2.0%	4.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10)	0.6%	0.9%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1)	0.3%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

47.3%(185.3K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: -44.0pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.

Ecological pattern — how to read this

Reflects patterns in counties where this religious tradition concentrates — not a claim about individual voters.

Values are derived by joining Religion Census 2020 (U.S. Religion Data Archive) with certified election results at the county level. That means we know what counties with more or fewer of this group did — not how any individual voted.

This is known as ecological inference. It is a valid way to surface geographic correlation but must not be read as a personal-vote claim about anyone in the group.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	24.5%	51.8%	—	—
Black Protestant	8.4%	17.9%	—	—
Catholic	5.8%	12.3%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	5.1%	10.8%	—	—
Other	3.3%	7.1%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	1.4%	2.9%	—	—
Orthodox Christian	0.1%	0.3%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	52.7%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Evangelical Protestant adherence nationally

Who lives in the Tallahassee, FL metro area? 1,440,284 residents across 16 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

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Tallahassee, FL vs National1.4M residents

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

1.4M

local

1.4MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.43%

local

0.43%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

39.6%

local

39.6%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$48,869

local

$48,869National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

19.7%

local

19.7%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

37.6%

local

37.6%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

59.0%

local

59.0%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

32.5 yrs

local

32.5 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

20.6%

local

20.6%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

9.9%

local

9.9%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

5.8%

local

5.8%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

8.9%

local

8.9%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

91.1%

local

91.1%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Tallahassee, FL

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

67.6%

vs Previous

-2.1pp

Eligible Non-Voters

99K · 32.4%

Citizen VAP

306,255

History

1988–2024

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Tallahassee, FL split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (28/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Senate	D+14.7	D+9.6	5.1pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 13.3pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Tallahassee, FL sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Florida(State)

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