How did Grand Island, NE vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Grand Island, NE voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+44.5. Kamala D Harris received 8,328 votes and Donald Trump received 21,985 out of 30,696 total votes cast, a 3.2-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Grand Island, NE's political history?

Grand Island, NE has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. It has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1968. The largest single-election swing was 59.2 points in 1932.

What are the demographics of Grand Island, NE?

Grand Island, NE has a population of 290,162 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 76.5% non-Hispanic white, 19.4% Hispanic, 1.7% Black. About 18% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $51,538.

Which places are most similar to Grand Island, NE?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to Grand Island, NE are Lexington, NE, Dalton, GA, Hermiston-Pendleton, OR. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Live · Metropolitan area

Grand Island, NE

Nebraska's second-largest metro anchors the state's agricultural heartland

Grand Island's Hall County votes reliably Republican in federal races, though its meatpacking-driven Latino population — now roughly 30% of residents — has gradually shifted the city's demographic makeup over the past two decades.

Presidential margin · 2024

Data unavailable for this race.

Race data unavailable

Geography

Race data unavailable

No current race for this office.

2024FIPS 24260

Population290K

Median ageU.S. 38.9y

36.9y▼ 2.0

Bachelor's+U.S. 35%

18.1%▼ 16.8

White76.5%
Hispanic19.4%
Other7.1%
Two or more3.9%
Black1.7%
Asian0.9%
Native0.5%

Trajectory · 2008–2024

Grand Island, NEBaseline

Cycle2024

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Constituent Counties

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Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Reads like Lexington, NE, Dalton, GA, and Hermiston-Pendleton, OR.

8 visible matches

Hermiston-Pendleton, OR

Constituent Geography

Counties in Grand Island, NE

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Hall	63K	R+37.8	6,956	15,566	22,804	18.6%
Hall	61K	R+37.8	6,956	15,566	22,804	18.6%
Hall	56K	R+37.8	6,956	15,566	22,804	18.6%
Hall	54K	R+37.8	6,956	15,566	22,804	18.6%
Merrick	8K	R+65.0	730	3,551	4,342	3.5%
Merrick	8K	R+65.0	730	3,551	4,342	3.5%
Merrick	8K	R+65.0	730	3,551	4,342	3.5%
Merrick	8K	R+65.0	730	3,551	4,342	3.5%
Howard	7K	R+62.7	642	2,868	3,550	2.9%
Howard	7K	R+62.7	642	2,868	3,550	2.9%
Howard	6K	R+62.7	642	2,868	3,550	2.9%
Howard	6K	R+62.7	642	2,868	3,550	2.9%

12 countiesTotal votes: 122,784

Historian Query

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Explore Grand Island, NE's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Grand Island, NE metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Grand Island, NECensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 76.5%Hispanic 19.4%Black 1.7%Multiracial 1.0%Asian 0.9%Native American 0.5%

Group	Grand Island, NE	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	76.5%	57.4%
▶Hispanic / Latino(13)	19.4%	19.3%
▶Black / African American(6)	1.7%	12.2%
Multiracial / Other	1.0%	4.0%
▶Asian(6)	0.9%	6.0%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3)	0.5%	0.9%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(2)	0.1%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

47.2%(36.2K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: +13.3pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.

Ecological pattern — how to read this

Reflects patterns in counties where this religious tradition concentrates — not a claim about individual voters.

Values are derived by joining Religion Census 2020 (U.S. Religion Data Archive) with certified election results at the county level. That means we know what counties with more or fewer of this group did — not how any individual voted.

This is known as ecological inference. It is a valid way to surface geographic correlation but must not be read as a personal-vote claim about anyone in the group.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Catholic	21.5%	45.7%	—	—
Evangelical Protestant	13.2%	27.9%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	11.0%	23.3%	—	—
Other	1.5%	3.1%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	0.6%	1.3%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	52.8%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Catholic adherence nationally

Who lives in the Grand Island, NE metro area? 290,162 residents across 12 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

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Grand Island, NE vs National290K residents

18% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 15pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

290K

local

290KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.09%

local

0.09%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

37.7%

local

37.7%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$51,538

local

$51,538National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

12.3%

local

12.3%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

18.1%

local

18.1%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

66.6%

local

66.6%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

36.9 yrs

local

36.9 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

10.9%

local

10.9%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

11.9%

local

11.9%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

10.6%

local

10.6%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

17.0%

local

17.0%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

83.0%

local

83.0%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Grand Island, NE

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

61.3%

vs Previous

-3.1pp

Eligible Non-Voters

19K · 38.7%

Citizen VAP

50,036

History

1988–2024

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Grand Island, NE split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (0/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Senate	R+44.5	R+50.2	5.7pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 24.3pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Grand Island, NE sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Nebraska(State)

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