A fast-growing Snake River hub reshaping southern Idaho's political math
Twin Falls has absorbed one of Idaho's highest rates of refugee resettlement alongside rapid Latino population growth, creating demographic shifts that analysts watch closely in a region that votes reliably Republican by double-digit margins.
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Twin Falls | 94K | R+48.8 | 9,064 | 27,304 | 37,379 | 20.6% |
| Twin Falls | 81K | R+48.8 | 9,064 | 27,304 | 37,379 | 20.6% |
| Twin Falls | 73K | R+48.8 | 9,064 | 27,304 | 37,379 | 20.6% |
| Twin Falls | 64K | R+48.8 | 9,064 | 27,304 | 37,379 | 20.6% |
| Jerome | 25K | R+53.9 | 1,742 | 6,012 | 7,927 | 4.4% |
| Jerome | 23K | R+53.9 | 1,742 | 6,012 | 7,927 | 4.4% |
| Jerome | 20K | R+53.9 | 1,742 | 6,012 | 7,927 | 4.4% |
| Jerome | 18K | R+53.9 | 1,742 | 6,012 | 7,927 | 4.4% |
| Group | Twin Falls, ID | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 78.4% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(13) | 17.6% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 1.7% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.9% | 6.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4) | 0.9% | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(7) | 0.7% | 0.9% |
▶Black / African American(5) | 0.5% | 12.2% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3) | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -7.5pp (vs national 4.5pp). A moderate religious balance between Catholic and Evangelical traditions.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23.7% | 55.8% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 22.7% | 53.4% | — | — |
| 8.4% | 19.9% | — | — | |
| 7.1% | 16.8% | — | — | |
| 3.2% | 7.4% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 57.5% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Twin Falls, ID metro area? 397,902 residents across 8 counties.
18% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 15pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+22 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate vs Governor | R+46.3 | R+47.0 | 0.7pp |