A Fox River corridor that swings federal and state races by narrow margins
The Green Bay metro anchors Wisconsin's northeastern lakeshore and has trended competitive in recent cycles, with a large working-class Catholic population and a fast-growing Latino community reshaping its electoral calculus.
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brown | 271K | R+7.5 | 67,937 | 79,132 | 149,333 | 20.0% |
| Brown | 257K | R+7.5 | 67,937 | 79,132 | 149,333 | 20.0% |
| Brown | 243K | R+7.5 | 67,937 | 79,132 | 149,333 | 20.0% |
| Brown | 227K | R+7.5 | 67,937 | 79,132 | 149,333 | 20.0% |
| Oconto | 40K | R+43.0 | 6,967 | 17,675 | 24,912 | 3.3% |
| Oconto | 37K | R+43.0 | 6,967 | 17,675 | 24,912 | 3.3% |
| Oconto | 37K | R+43.0 | 6,967 | 17,675 | 24,912 | 3.3% |
| Oconto | 36K | R+43.0 | 6,967 | 17,675 | 24,912 | 3.3% |
| Kewaunee | 21K | R+33.7 | 4,059 | 8,267 | 12,484 | 1.7% |
| Kewaunee | 20K | R+33.7 | 4,059 | 8,267 | 12,484 | 1.7% |
| Kewaunee | 20K | R+33.7 | 4,059 | 8,267 | 12,484 | 1.7% |
| Kewaunee | 20K | R+33.7 | 4,059 | 8,267 | 12,484 | 1.7% |
| Group | Green Bay, WI | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 85.8% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(17) | 6.2% | 19.3% |
▶Asian(6) | 2.3% | 6.0% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.1% | 4.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 2.0% | 0.9% |
▶Black / African American(8) | 1.6% | 12.2% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(7) | 0.2% | 0.9% |
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +27.2pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31.5% | 58.7% | — | — | |
| 14.5% | 27.0% | — | — | |
| 6.1% | 11.4% | — | — | |
| 1.5% | 2.8% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.5% | 1.0% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 46.3% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Green Bay, WI metro area? 1,228,856 residents across 12 counties.
25% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 8pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+3 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+14.0 | R+12.1 | 1.9pp |