Skip to main content
Live · Metropolitan area

Harrisonburg, VA

A college-anchored metro where student enrollment shapes turnout math

Home to James Madison University, Harrisonburg's electorate skews younger than surrounding Shenandoah Valley counties, and shifting student registration rates have repeatedly altered competitive margins in statewide races.

Presidential margin · 2024
Data unavailable for this race.
Race data unavailable
Geography
Race data unavailable
No current race for this office.
2024FIPS 25500
Population493K
Median ageU.S. 38.9y
33.5y▼ 5.4
Bachelor's+U.S. 35%
27.7%▼ 7.3
  • White82.4%
  • Hispanic10.1%
  • Two or more4.1%
  • Black3.8%
  • Other2.5%
  • Asian1.8%
Trajectory · 2008–2024
Harrisonburg, VABaseline
Reagan → Bush IIObama → TrumpR+30R+20R+1002020D+5R+30
Cycle2024
Open in Cartographer

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer
Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Reads like Manhattan, KS, Lafayette-West Lafayette, IN, and State College, PA.
8 visible matches
Constituent Geography

Counties in Harrisonburg, VA

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
CountyPop.MarginDemRepTotalShare
Rockingham86K
R+37.0
15,03533,03348,58118.5%
Rockingham78K
R+37.0
15,03533,03348,58118.5%
Rockingham74K
R+37.0
15,03533,03348,58118.5%
Rockingham68K
R+37.0
15,03533,03348,58118.5%
Harrisonburg City52K
D+25.4
10,6416,26617,2456.5%
Harrisonburg City51K
D+25.4
10,6416,26617,2456.5%
Harrisonburg City44K
D+25.4
10,6416,26617,2456.5%
Harrisonburg City40K
D+25.4
10,6416,26617,2456.5%
8 countiesTotal votes: 263,304
Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Harrisonburg, VA's political evolution with the Historian
Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Harrisonburg, VACensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
Expand rows for ancestry detail
White (Non-Hispanic) 82.4%Hispanic 10.1%Black 3.8%Asian 1.8%Multiracial 1.7%
GroupHarrisonburg, VANational
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)
82.4%57.4%
▶Hispanic / Latino(18)
10.1%19.3%
▶Black / African American(11)
3.8%12.2%
▶Asian(6)
1.8%6.0%
Multiracial / Other
1.7%4.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(8)
0.7%0.9%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1)
0.2%0.9%
Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:
50.6%(69.3K people)
U.S. Religion Census 2020
Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: -59.3pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.

Ecological pattern — how to read this

Reflects patterns in counties where this religious tradition concentrates — not a claim about individual voters.

Values are derived by joining Religion Census 2020 (U.S. Religion Data Archive) with certified election results at the county level. That means we know what counties with more or fewer of this group did — not how any individual voted.

This is known as ecological inference. It is a valid way to surface geographic correlation but must not be read as a personal-vote claim about anyone in the group.

Tradition% Pop% AdherentsUS PopUS Adherents
Evangelical Protestant
31.6%62.5%——
Mainline Protestant
10.7%21.2%——
Catholic
3.9%7.7%——
Other
3.7%7.4%——
LDS (Mormon)
1.0%2.0%——
Orthodox Christian
0.4%0.8%——
Black Protestant
0.2%0.4%——
Non-religiousPopulation
49.4%———
Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.
Explore Evangelical Protestant adherence nationally

Who lives in the Harrisonburg, VA metro area? 493,144 residents across 8 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
Export CSVPro
Harrisonburg, VA vs National493K residents

28% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 5pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+3 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population
Local vs state vs U.S.
493K
local
493KNational 334.9M
Share of U.S. population
Local vs state vs U.S.
0.15%
local
0.15%National 100%
Voting-age population
Local vs state vs U.S.
39.7%
local
39.7%National 75.7%
Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income
Local vs state vs U.S.
$52,861
local
$52,861National $83,960
Poverty rate
Local vs state vs U.S.
17.4%
local
17.4%National 12.5%
College degree
Local vs state vs U.S.
27.7%
local
27.7%National 35.6%
Homeownership
Local vs state vs U.S.
62.6%
local
62.6%National 65.2%
Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age
Local vs state vs U.S.
33.5 yrs
local
33.5 yrsNational 39.1 yrs
Age 18–29
Local vs state vs U.S.
20.1%
local
20.1%National 15.7%
Age 65+
Local vs state vs U.S.
11.2%
local
11.2%National 17.0%
Foreign born
Local vs state vs U.S.
8.6%
local
8.6%National 14.1%
Non-English at home
Local vs state vs U.S.
13.1%
local
13.1%National 22.2%
English only
Local vs state vs U.S.
86.9%
local
86.9%National 77.8%
Voter Turnout

Turnout in Harrisonburg, VA

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.
2024 Turnout
64.7%
vs Previous
+4.8pp
Eligible Non-Voters
36K · 35.3%
Citizen VAP
101,689
History
1988–2024
Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Harrisonburg, VA split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
ConsistencyModerate splitting (63/100)
2024 Office Comparisons
OfficesMargin AMargin BSplit
President vs SenateR+20.7R+16.73.9pp
Average divergence across office pairs: 8.0pp
Containing Geography

Located In

Harrisonburg, VA sits inside these higher-level geographies.
Upgrade Path

Unlock Metro Area Analytics

Advance from the public dossier into precinct-level, insight-rich district intelligence.
Target plan Pro$33/mo
Precinct data, Smart Insights, full history, and export controls tailored to place pages.
Precinct-Level Data
See results for every neighborhood and voting precinct
Smart Insights
Automated highlights from recent election patterns
Full Historical Access
165 years of election data at every level of geography
CSV Exports
Download any table or chart as a CSV file
Upgrade to Pro$33/mo