Resort-era legacy meets a retiree-heavy electorate in the Ouachitas
Hot Springs anchors a small metro where tourism history and a disproportionately older population shape turnout patterns, contributing to the low-density, high-Republican-margin profile typical of Arkansas's non-delta interior counties.
| Group | Hot Springs, AR | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 83.5% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(4) | 7.9% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(13) | 4.8% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.4% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.7% | 6.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.6% | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(4) | 0.1% | 0.9% |
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -58.0pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32.6% | 63.7% | — | — | |
| 8.0% | 15.7% | — | — | |
| 5.2% | 10.2% | — | — | |
| 2.7% | 5.2% | — | — | |
| 2.6% | 5.0% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.5% | 0.9% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 48.9% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Hot Springs, AR metro area? 381,507 residents across 4 counties.
21% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 12pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate vs Governor | R+40.8 | R+35.2 | 5.6pp |