A post-steel metro where working-class realignment reshaped the map
Once a Democratic stronghold anchored by union households, the Johnstown metro has swung sharply toward Republicans over the past two decades as manufacturing employment collapsed and the electorate's cultural priorities shifted.
| Group | Johnstown, PA | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 93.2% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(4) | 3.1% | 12.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 1.6% | 4.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(11) | 1.4% | 19.3% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(6) | 0.5% | 0.9% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.5% | 6.0% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.1% | 0.9% |
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +31.5pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35.2% | 54.3% | — | — | |
| 14.7% | 22.7% | — | — | |
| 11.8% | 18.3% | — | — | |
| 1.3% | 2.1% | — | — | |
| 1.0% | 1.5% | — | — | |
| 0.7% | 1.1% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.4% | 0.6% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 35.2% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Johnstown, PA metro area? 567,117 residents across 4 counties.
18% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 15pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+39.7 | R+33.2 | 6.5pp |