A small Ozarks metro that bucked its region's sharp rightward trend in 2024
Lebanon's metro returned a Democratic lean of 3.3 points in 2024, an outlier in a heavily Republican swath of south-central Missouri, suggesting local economic or demographic currents that diverge from surrounding Ozarks counties.
| Group | Lebanon, MO | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 93.9% | 57.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.4% | 4.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(5) | 2.1% | 19.3% |
▶Black / African American(2) | 0.6% | 12.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.5% | 0.9% |
▶Asian(4) | 0.5% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(1) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(2) | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -88.1pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.4% | 86.5% | — | — | |
| 4.2% | 7.6% | — | — | |
| 1.6% | 3.0% | — | — | |
| 1.6% | 2.9% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.9% | 1.7% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 45.2% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Lebanon, MO metro area? 139,454 residents across 4 counties.
13% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 20pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+28 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+66.8 | R+61.9 | 4.9pp |
| Senate vs Governor | R+61.9 | R+65.1 | 3.2pp |
| President vs Governor | R+66.8 | R+65.1 | 1.7pp |