Small central-Illinois metro where manufacturing heritage shapes the ballot
Lincoln anchors Logan County, a reliably Republican stretch of the prairie where declining industrial employment and an aging population have reinforced already wide margins in statewide races.
| Group | Lincoln, IL | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 85.4% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 8.4% | 12.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.0% | 4.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(8) | 2.5% | 19.3% |
▶Asian(4) | 0.5% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(5) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.2% | 0.9% |
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -71.8pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34.9% | 72.9% | — | — | |
| 9.2% | 19.2% | — | — | |
| 2.7% | 5.6% | — | — | |
| 0.7% | 1.5% | — | — | |
| 0.4% | 0.8% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 52.2% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Lincoln, IL metro area? 118,658 residents across 4 counties.
18% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 15pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+22 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate vs Governor | R+37.4 | R+41.3 | 3.9pp |