A small Tennessee metro where rural tradition meets a growing manufacturing base
McMinnville anchors Warren County, a persistently Republican-leaning corner of the Cumberland Plateau where voter registration has trended increasingly toward the GOP over the past decade, even as light industrial growth draws a modestly younger workforce.
| Group | McMinnville, TN | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 86.7% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(8) | 7.9% | 19.3% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 2.5% | 12.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 1.9% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(2) | 0.6% | 6.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(2) | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -85.0pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41.4% | 84.1% | — | — | |
| 4.2% | 8.6% | — | — | |
| 1.8% | 3.6% | — | — | |
| 1.3% | 2.7% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.8% | 1.6% | — | — |
| 0.5% | 1.0% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 50.8% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the McMinnville, TN metro area? 160,456 residents across 4 counties.
12% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 21pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+35 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+56.1 | R+52.9 | 3.2pp |